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  1. Spitfire9

    TR Economy & Updates

    I guess that the economist commenting sees as serious the reversal of improvement in the economy due to the reaction to the arrest of Erdogan's political rival (suggests political instability) and the reaction to Trump's wild tariffs (suggests trade instability). To me, some useful data in the...
  2. Spitfire9

    TR HÜRJET-Advanced Jet Trainer/ Light attack aircraft

    I don't know about carrier operations but I don't understand how a conventional trainer would be useful to train F-35B pilots on British carriers. I see F-35B landed vertically.
  3. Spitfire9

    TR Economy & Updates

    For anyone interested in a look at the Turkish economy from a British economist with no interest in Turkiye politically
  4. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    In retrospect, it was not all bluster and rhetoric. You shot down 1 Indian fighter in 2019 to be lenient? Don't make me laugh. I don't like misinformation or propaganda or conspiracy theories. Anyone know the source of the downed Rafale photo?
  5. Spitfire9

    TR HÜRJET-Advanced Jet Trainer/ Light attack aircraft

    Why is the US coloured? It has got T-7A. I don't think that UK should be coloured either. There seems to be an interest in all GCAP countries ordering an M-346 optimised for GCAP training. If not, UK startup company Aeralis could be given the contract for a UK trainer. Nothing decided for the...
  6. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    A few more minutes on the financial crisis hitting Russia. War spending is predicted to rise a lot in the 2025 budget, oil revenues are likely to fall dramatically from what was predicted in the 2025 budget. Russian analyst-in-exile Konstantin speculates on emergency actions Putin may take to...
  7. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    a minute of reality https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Wn6mD42alsY
  8. Spitfire9

    TR HÜRJET-Advanced Jet Trainer/ Light attack aircraft

    It can be supplied if Spain orders (thinking of US engine)? How well is it likely to sell against T-50?
  9. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Obviously would be bad for the existing Russian regime. Obviously would be good for the nation Russia is currently attacking. And would be good for all other nations Russia would otherwise attack in the future. Unfortunately Russia is a country in which nationalism runs strongly through its...
  10. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    In my view 'the West' was reluctant to send weapons to support Ukraine - until it became clear that Ukraine would not be defeated in a few days, whereby weapons supplied might fall into Russian hands - due to bureaucratic delay - due to US presidential timidity - due to US policy changing...
  11. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    The unknown is how to put Russia in such a weak position that - whatever nationalistic empire re-building sentiments it harbours after severe failure in Ukraine - pursuing those expansionist ambitions is not a viable option. I favour Ukraine continuing fighting, allowing Russia to weaken...
  12. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    The unknown is how to put Russia in such a weak position that - whatever nationalistic empire re-building sentiments it harbours after severe failure in Ukraine - pursuing those expansionist ambitions is not a viable option. I favour Ukraine continuing fighting, allowing Russia to weaken...
  13. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Russia continues on its downward path economically and financially... https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/russia-economy-on-the-brink-as-main-revenue-source-plunges/ar-AA1Etuxp?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=f1f93011fe914ec2a1721a4c92830fa9&ei=14 Given all the economic and financial problems...
  14. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    https://www.bing.com/search?q=world%20bank%20oil%20price%20forecast%202025&qs=n&form=QBRE&sp=-1&ghc=1&lq=0&pq=world%20bank%20oil%20price%20forecast%202025&sc=12-34&sk=&cvid=79111457C35E44CF8B547FCD987E42D7 This is bad news for Russia. Government revenues from crude sales look set to fall far...
  15. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c20zj5l4jpdt This is going to get complicated if the agreement covers mineral deposits in areas currently occupied by Russia.
  16. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    You mention the ruble being strong. Ironically, that is bad news for the Russian government. The Russian budget is calculated using rubles. 50 USD revenue per barrel of Russian crude sold converts to 5,000 rubles per barrel @ 1 USD=100 rubles. Change the rate to 1 USD=80 rubles and Russia...
  17. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    https://united24media.com/latest-news/100000-tons-of-munitions-still-detonating-at-russian-military-depot-7802
  18. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2025-04-21/russias-slowing-economic-growth-cuts-demand-for-chinese-imports Expensive finance depressing demand? Reuters interviewed 25 cognoscenti in the last few days. 25 out of 25 thought that the central bank will hold the rate at 21% in their...
  19. Spitfire9

    TR Air Forces|News & Discussion

    I think KAAN would be overkill for Brazil. It is not under threat. Additionally it should see its first F-39 (Gripen E) aircraft rollout of its assembly line this year. The FAB halted Gripen E deliveries from Sweden for budgetary reasons, I think, a year ago to explore lower cost options (used...
  20. Spitfire9

    TR Air Forces|News & Discussion

    Not sure where to post this but since it involves the air force, I'm posting it here. Is Turkiye interested in a 25 tonne class airlifter in the near future? The C-390 offers more speed than A400M. It has demonstrated operational availability of around 80% and 99% mission completion rate in...

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