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  1. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Russian progress on the ground... https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c620765wlxgo Russian economy regression... https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-industrial-titans-furlough-workers-its-war-economy-stalls-2025-10-09/...
  2. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    I think the US will need to provide Russia with funding if it wants the war to last a lot longer. Like you I came to the conclusion that Biden, after all the talk of helping Ukraine to expel the Russian invaders, did not actually want that to happen. Russia would bleed itself dry if the war...
  3. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    I don't suggest that Russia will collapse into many nations. I have never thought or suggested that. I point out that government revenue - which already does not cover budgeted spending for 2025 - will be further reduced by the Rosneft and Lukoil sanctions. At best government revenue will be...
  4. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force EF Typhoon

    Spain has ordered more A400M than it wants, hasn't it? Could Turkiye take over slots?
  5. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    They could probably have defeated Ukraine in a week or two had the Russian army been the army it was reputed to be.
  6. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Who is dreaming? The good news for Russia's economy: inflation fell from 8.2% to 8.0% in September 2025. The bad news for Russia's economy: I think that all other indicators will have been negative. The new bad news this month: the sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, Russia's biggest exporters...
  7. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force EF Typhoon

    Not such a bad choice to get out of a bad situation? I have no idea if it includes authority to integrate Turkish weapons . Does anybody know? Expensive, certainly but weren't new F-16's going to be expensive, too?
  8. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    https://www.ft.com/content/774be10a-e53e-4f48-ac92-33ac99109e44 I think that the sanctions imposed on itself and Rosneft will cost Lukoil many, many billions. From November dealing with Lukoil or Lukoil subsidiaries risks attracting secondary sanctions from the US. What can Ukoil do except sell...
  9. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    IMF estimates 2025 Russian GDP will be around 2.5 trillion USD. It is currently estimated that Russian GDP growth in 2025 will be <1%. Russian crude production is currently around 10 million barrels a day. @ an estimated average sales price of around 60 USD a barrel in 2025 (my guess), crude...
  10. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    I think that events even before the invasion cast doubt on NATO membership being a guarantee of security to members. Didn't one US president say that if members did not 'pay their way' the US would not come to their aid if it was needed? To me it would be better for Ukraine to join an EU that...
  11. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    The only sure guarantee that Russia would not attack Ukraine again would be if Russia could not attack Ukraine again. How can that be achieved?
  12. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Russia's invasion had an immediate adverse effect on the world - crude prices shot up, grain prices shot up. Worldwide.
  13. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Amongst all the propaganda on the internet screaming that Russia is bankrupt or its economy is collapsing, I notice that its coal industry is actually showing signs of collapse, as reported here: The speaker says that 66% of Russian coal companies are making a loss, that loss expected to...
  14. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    https://www.defesanet.com.br/aviacao/brasil-pode-exportar-cacas-gripen-para-a-ucrania/ Too late, I think, to be of help in the war. Long term - if Trump fails to force Ukraine to surrender to Russia and Ukraine survives with European support - Gripen E would be a great choice as UkAF's...
  15. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Unlike the Russians, the Ukrainians are not fighting a war of conquest. If Russia stops fighting, Russia remains. If Ukraine stops fighting, Ukraine disappears. There is also the small matter of whether the people of Ukraine would prefer to live under totalitarianism or to live under democracy...
  16. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    It was reported a long time ago that Sweden was training UkAF pilots on Gripen. Presumably using the D model. I can imagine that an effective way of equipping UkAF with Gripen would be by accelerating deliveries of Gripen E to SwAF, freeing up C models for transfer to UkAF. I believe that SAAB...
  17. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    UK, France and Germany unite to turn Russian assets into Ukraine aid The G7 plan could unlock up to £250 billion for Kyiv by converting frozen Russian... https://www.thetimes.com/world/russia-ukraine-war/article/russian-assets-ukraine-aid-eu-uk-v06vdbgcv I don't approve of sequestering assets...
  18. Spitfire9

    TR HÜRJET-Advanced Jet Trainer/ Light attack aircraft

    I find it surprising that Tejas Mk1A is reported to be capable of mach 1.8. Gripen C mach 2.0 yet T-7 only mach 0.975 since they all use variants of the F404 engine. All numbers from Wiki. I have read that Gripen has particularly good aerodynamics but T-7 p/w ratio and aerodynamics limiting it...
  19. Spitfire9

    TR HÜRJET-Advanced Jet Trainer/ Light attack aircraft

    US has the supersonic T-7 on order. Why would it have any interest in Hurjet? Brazil has a funding problem and is now acutely short of military jets. I hear that FAB has 10 Gripen E, 3 operational AMX and about a dozen operational F-5. Because of the funding problem it looked at cheaper...
  20. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    With Russian casualties of around a million or more according to non-Russian information sources (near 1,000 a day since the war started), I do wonder how many casualties are incurred in gaining 1 sq km of Ukrainian territory. I see that 135,000 new recruits are on the way...

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