Kozan Selçuk Erkan mentioned the indian air defense systems Armenia bought were not networked. Only one system was bought so far AFAIK. That's a big problem. One has to consider Armenia is very small and dirt poor. I don't think they can pull a rabbit out of the hat when it comes to rearmament. It doesn't help that Armenia is in the middle of their own refugee crisis.
No offense to our Indian friends, but I think a few Israeli loitering munitions can take out that lone Indian AA.
Armenia is in no position to wage war again IMO. But they will buy to preserve their current state.
Pashinyan actually attended Erdogan swearing in ceremony after last election in TR.
The Armenian establishment understands the position they are in, karabag is gone, their people moved back to Armenia, its the usual population transfer stuff that happens in lot of wars of this nature. This is why Armenia proceeds with peace plan negotiation long term with Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan crucially maintains its relationship with Israel to leverage with west (alongside the brotherhood relations with Turks).
Armenia more or less will cultivate/maintain security based relations to extent they can with (in immediate neighbourhood): Russia and Iran.
Then the vectors like NATO (esp France, Greece etc) and India are also there.
These will just be next 10 - 20 years of planning in Vegetius way:
Qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum.
i.e you have to signal strength to have deterrence and reduce chance of war (i.e you actually increase chance of war by signalling weakness). This is common state of affairs worldwide where tensions are high though (and you give the passage of time to slowly subside the tensions to a better day of downstream mutual deterrence, respect built etc).
The lead up to WW2 is probably the most intense one to study regarding it....the great follies British and French did and their underestimating and very bad signalling by not engaging in productive re-armament whatever else was going on w.r.t diplomacy with NSDAP run Germany.
But I would not rate chance of war on Armenian state (by Azerbaijan) as likely. Azerbaijan just wanted its territory back and Armenia did not negotiate something well when they had upperhand in the late 90s/early 2000s because Armenian ego was too strong and Russia was still quite strong back then too. They expected that to continue forever, its silly. They did not consider they are tiny and landlocked and precarious state of Russia and Iran geopolitically with rest of world.
But there are other such stories in the world too....misjudgements by ego and psyche. Sometimes you sympathise if you read the larger story....sometimes you don't....or a mix. It depends on your perspective in end I suppose.
