It will be more than 6.5B at 2024, maybe 7B. Pretty impressive.
"Russian arms exports in 2019-2023 fell by 53% compared to 2014-2018, Russia dropped to third place for the first time in this indicator. This is stated in a report by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)
Russia's share of the world market was 11%. Russia is ahead of France (47% growth, share of world exports - 11%) and the United States (+17%, share of world exports - 42%). The top ten largest global arms exporters also include Italy (+86%, 4.3% of the world market), South Korea (+12%, 2% of the world market), China (-5.3%, world share - 5.8%), Germany (-14%, 5.6%), Great Britain (-14%; 3.7%), Spain (-3.3%; 2.7%) and Israel (-25%; 2.4%)"
Экспорт российского оружия в 2019-2023 гг.
www.vedomosti.ru
Russia is losing its already few clients.
Russian sources themselves admit this.
In August 2022, Putin said that Russia had exported $8 billion worth of weapons in 8 months. And immediately ... classified all information regarding exports.
Moreover, for the first time in the last 80 years, Russia is forced to import weapons. From Iran! From North Korea!
It has come to the point that the Russians are asking Kazakhstan for decommissioned fighter jets and tanks of Soviet and Russian production.
It is clear that Russia cannot increase arms exports while waging a war. But not everything depends on the war. Because exports were declining long before the war.
The fact is that the world sees the quality of Russian weapons in Ukraine.
The phrase "Second Army of the World" has become a meme.
Taking into account the general trend, we can come to the conclusion that in the coming years Türkiye will be ahead of Russia in arms exports.
