Huelague
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Like the pager attack?
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Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations
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Israel 
claims to have launched approximately 300 strikes into Lebanon on Saturday. I'll be very curious to see to what degree those strikes (and the ones coming over the coming days) degrade Hebollah's capability to launch vast quantities of missiles and rockets into Israel. Nobody doubts that Hezbollah has access to tens of thousands of medium / long range projectiles. The question is the following? How many launchers do they have and how many can Israel destroy as they're being prepared to fire?
claims to have launched approximately 300 strikes into Lebanon on Saturday. I'll be very curious to see to what degree those strikes (and the ones coming over the coming days) degrade Hebollah's capability to launch vast quantities of missiles and rockets into Israel. Nobody doubts that Hezbollah has access to tens of thousands of medium / long range projectiles. The question is the following? How many launchers do they have and how many can Israel destroy as they're being prepared to fire?
S
Sounds like a pretty successful day between the recent strikes, and Hezbollah's incoming projectiles not really doing jack. A couple landed in Haifa apparently, doesn't look like much damage and no injuries.
Israel's turn again.
Israel's turn again.
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Israeli air strikes kill 274, Lebanon says, as thousands flee south of country
Lebanon strikes are preparation for ground incursion, Israel army chief tells troops
Lt Gen Herzi Halevi says the Israeli military is preparing for a "manoeuvre", after a week of escalating cross-border fighting.
www.bbc.com
S
The army seems to be the smart faction, not picking this fight after the results of the last time around. Hezbollah's evidently a little less wise, or just doesn't care, but that's no huge shock.
YeşilVatan
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Lebanese army serves the very important role of giving out rank and positions in accordance with secterian and tribal affliations so possibility of another civil war will be kicked down the road.
Ryder
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Literally reminds me of Bosnia.
Not to mention all the Christians in Lebanon all support Israel.
Secratarian also tribal. Sunnis and Shias are also at each others throats too. Hence why the Sunnis are perfectly fine as long as Hezbollah gets shattered because it works in their favour.
Lebanon just like Bosnia in the future will boil down to another civil war as the ethnic and religious groups are too divided to even form a nation state.
State of the armed forces is abysmal not only they cant fight the groups in Lebanon they also cant even fight and defend their nation against another attacking them which is Israel.
Diference between Bosnia and Hezegovina and Lebanon is demography. Lebanon has growing population while BiH has downsizing trend. So another war in BiH is not so likely because there are no many young people, and as time passes, there would be even less young people to fight. Only pensioners
Ryder
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The Balkan countries have low fertility rates too?
S
What's even the deal with Hezbollah here? I thought they'd be more formidable than *this*, at least, seems like they're pretty close to crippled already, which is kind of nuts.
All the top leadership guys but Nasrallah are basically dead, "tens of thousands" of rockets have been taken out of commission according to the IDF. Any retaliatory missile strikes by Hezbollah have been surprisingly piss-weak, it's kind of curious. What's left, pretty much just the small-arms guys in balaclavas and the dudes in pickup trucks with 50 cals?
Like, what are we thinking here, the communications/pager/walkie fuckery a few days back was just more successful than one could have hoped and it threw off their abilities completely? Or were they really just all bluster from the start? Obviously the rocket caches existed, we see them go up in flames today and yesterday, but like...yeah.
I don't know. Iran must be pretty pissed about now, their top proxy not amounting to all that much more than Hamas. Hezbollah seemed way more effective than this in '06, maybe it was just the "playing defence on Lebanese territory" factor there, the ambushes and stuff were what they trained for and they had the advantage of the IDF way underestimating them that time? It's wild just how easy this one seems for the Israelis, expected way more of a fight here personally. No doubt if it turns to a ground invasion the IDF's going to lose people, urban combat is hell, but in terms of the higher-end rocket barrages and stuff it seems Hezbollah's, in practice, kind of a nothing-factor.
EDIT: US official tells CNN Hezbollah has already "probably been taken 20 years backwards". 48 hours.
All the top leadership guys but Nasrallah are basically dead, "tens of thousands" of rockets have been taken out of commission according to the IDF. Any retaliatory missile strikes by Hezbollah have been surprisingly piss-weak, it's kind of curious. What's left, pretty much just the small-arms guys in balaclavas and the dudes in pickup trucks with 50 cals?
Like, what are we thinking here, the communications/pager/walkie fuckery a few days back was just more successful than one could have hoped and it threw off their abilities completely? Or were they really just all bluster from the start? Obviously the rocket caches existed, we see them go up in flames today and yesterday, but like...yeah.
I don't know. Iran must be pretty pissed about now, their top proxy not amounting to all that much more than Hamas. Hezbollah seemed way more effective than this in '06, maybe it was just the "playing defence on Lebanese territory" factor there, the ambushes and stuff were what they trained for and they had the advantage of the IDF way underestimating them that time? It's wild just how easy this one seems for the Israelis, expected way more of a fight here personally. No doubt if it turns to a ground invasion the IDF's going to lose people, urban combat is hell, but in terms of the higher-end rocket barrages and stuff it seems Hezbollah's, in practice, kind of a nothing-factor.
EDIT: US official tells CNN Hezbollah has already "probably been taken 20 years backwards". 48 hours.
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All Europe has demographic problems
Ryder
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Hezbollah once threatened Turkiye.
They are like we will slap and drive the Ottomans away. They made lots of videos about it.
Now Israel is pummelling them.
Shia Militias and Groups will only bark thats about it. Hezbollah is brave enough to send its own thugs to kill Syrians but not man enough to take on the Zionists.
They are like we will slap and drive the Ottomans away. They made lots of videos about it.
Now Israel is pummelling them.
Shia Militias and Groups will only bark thats about it. Hezbollah is brave enough to send its own thugs to kill Syrians but not man enough to take on the Zionists.
S
Hezbollah acknowledges that Qubaisi got whacked.
Heard an interesting thought from a Lebanese-migrant colleague today, that the Lebanese government/military should seize this opportunity, call up Netanyahu and team up to stomp Hezbollah out completely. Never going to happen of course, but I guess if the argument is supposedly "Hezbollah is not Lebanon, Lebanon is not Hezbollah", it's a hard proposition to argue against, makes sense. If they're such this thorn in your side and the country-as-a-whole doesn't agree with/support them, then yeah, now's your chance to come at them with actual backup.
Heard an interesting thought from a Lebanese-migrant colleague today, that the Lebanese government/military should seize this opportunity, call up Netanyahu and team up to stomp Hezbollah out completely. Never going to happen of course, but I guess if the argument is supposedly "Hezbollah is not Lebanon, Lebanon is not Hezbollah", it's a hard proposition to argue against, makes sense. If they're such this thorn in your side and the country-as-a-whole doesn't agree with/support them, then yeah, now's your chance to come at them with actual backup.
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My thoughts exactly. Monocultures are the result of failure of a society; in a society where everyone thinks the same way, no one is actually thinking. This is why that society cannot produce effective critical thinking and multiple voices, because any unorthodox thought is shut down immediately by the close-mindedness inherent to monocultures.
guest12
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Monocultures survive and make mutlicultural ones extinct.For this reason alone Sky Picot created Lebanon as a broken mutli cultural state and why Arab world divided into 100 diffferent states.
Strengh comes from unity.
Multi-headed hydra will spent its days discussing which head is boss instead of focusing what is important : Surviving!
Thats why abrahamic religions survived thousands of years!
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That's not what monoculture means and it's not contrasted with multiculturalism. These things have nothing to do with each other.
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They used to understand PR and its importance better than most:
Ravager
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I have to give nasrallah a credits here . For all of his shortcoming and divergent ideas . For sure he is a shrewd and brilliant strategist . I admit that i couldn't be as smart and patients as him ...
Many will lose their cools and start to leash out when you got a heavy casualties in their rank which in turn could only make you vulnerable and show a weakness to exploited further in ...but , no ....he is biting the bullets never fails upon Israelis taunts and bluffs and persistenly marching on his own pace . Incrementally leveling the tempos and dictates the dynamic of northern front skirmishes who are really ..really start to be felt and experienced by Israelis civilian ( debatable allright
) right now .
It's was Israelis who backed in the corner right now . After another diminishing leverages and means . Hizbo are still digging in and thriving ... Waiting for the overeager and anxious israelis reservist to jump on their preapared gauntlet of misery ...
And boy ....wouldn't that be a sight ...
Many will lose their cools and start to leash out when you got a heavy casualties in their rank which in turn could only make you vulnerable and show a weakness to exploited further in ...but , no ....he is biting the bullets never fails upon Israelis taunts and bluffs and persistenly marching on his own pace . Incrementally leveling the tempos and dictates the dynamic of northern front skirmishes who are really ..really start to be felt and experienced by Israelis civilian ( debatable allright
) right now .It's was Israelis who backed in the corner right now . After another diminishing leverages and means . Hizbo are still digging in and thriving ... Waiting for the overeager and anxious israelis reservist to jump on their preapared gauntlet of misery ...
And boy ....wouldn't that be a sight ...
