TR Military Operations in Northern Iraq

[Kartal1]

Operation at a depth of 300 kilometers from MIT.

On March 1, in the operation carried out by MIT's UCAVs against a target in the Kelar city center in the Sulaymaniyah region of Iraq (300 ~ km away from the Turkish border), members of the terrorist organization PKK, "Sevger Azad" and Husnu Kumek, codenamed "Aras", were killed.

Husnu Kumek, who was in the so-called intelligence formation of the terrorist organization PKK, was determined to be one of the so-called Suleymaniye/Kelar commanders of the organization.

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This is a record depth for a Turkish strike in Iraq. I feel that soon PMU officials may be targeted.

 

[Bozan]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1765399069604675692

Americans are meeting with Bafel.

 

[Heartbang]

soon PMU officials may be targeted.

Gotta slap Talabani's bald head from the back. With MAM's.

 

[Kartal1]

Gotta slap Talabani's bald head from the back. With MAM's.

To start with him directly is not a smart move because he is the second biggest political figure in KRG after all, but very soon we may hear about bad things happening to Zanyari (PUK Intelligence) operatives by "unknown men on motorcycles" or "unidentified UAVs" for example

 

[Heartbang]

To start with him directly is not a smart move because he is the second biggest political figure in KRG after all,

Could you explain to me why is that so?

 

[Bozan]

Could you explain to me why is that so?

Bafel is a protected figure by several powers in the region. Kill him, and you are saying that you are happy to play the game with gloves off.

Iran can play this game better in Iraq and there are many ways to hurt Turkish interests in Iraq. From businesses (Iraq is a significant market) to oil to migrant flows, the fight against PKK

 

[Kartal1]

Could you explain to me why is that so?

This is the same as hitting the leader of the main opposition party in any other country (I am saying "country" because of the de-facto situation in KRG and their independent policies from the Central Iraqi Government) and the fact that he is a Kurd will amplify the outcry. The processes that may start after his immediate death may result in a short time victory, but a negative outcome in the long term.

While he is responsible for PUK's policy as a decision maker he is no more than that. The personnel within his security system are the ones that are moving the PKK-PUK cooperation on the field. While Bafel Talabani is giving the last word he is influenced by his advisors and chiefs within the relevant structures.

While Bafel Talabani is the leader in PUK right now, we know that PUK has at least two influential figures. We are talking about Bafel himself and Lahur Talabani. Bafel is the son of Jalal Talabani (Talabani father), Bafel and Lahur are cousins. After Jalal Talabani's death in 2017 a power struggle started between Bafel and Lahur. It resulted in Bafel gaining the support of many of the influential first generation PUK members, Lahur losing influence and series of arrests against Lahur's men, appointments on critical positions within PUK's security services that are close to Bafel Talabani. Bafel Talabani even told Lahur that he has to support him or leave Iraq. There is a serious rift between the two and the killing of Bafel may make him a "martyr" which would unite PUK strong under Lahur Talabani and he will most probably be the undisputed leader of PUK. He is also a PKK supporter.

Our surgical strikes must be surgical indeed. With our strikes we must ensure that we cripple PUK's intelligence and security, we must ensure that the relevant figures within PUK feel threatened, the morale and motivation within the PUK security services for cooperation with PKK drops, we must ensure that we give the needed message so the influential figures within the security system of PUK tell Bafel "The Turks are not joking, lets make a step backwards", but in the same time not making him a martyr. If we need to go a step further we must start a campaign against Bafel, create a tension around his inner circle, make sure he lose some trust and encourage the further dismemberment of the PUK making it lose influence in their controlled areas because of the rifts.

 

[Heartbang]

This is the same as hitting the leader of the main opposition party in any other country (I am saying "country" because of the de-facto situation in KRG and their independent policies from the Central Iraqi Government) and the fact that he is a Kurd will amplify the outcry. The processes that may start after his immediate death may result in a short time victory, but a negative outcome in the long term.

While he is responsible for PUK's policy as a decision maker he is no more than that. The personnel within his security system are the ones that are moving the PKK-PUK cooperation on the field. While Bafel Talabani is giving the last word he is influenced by his advisors and chiefs within the relevant structures.

While Bafel Talabani is the leader in PUK right now, we know that PUK has at least two influential figures. We are talking about Bafel himself and Lahur Talabani. Bafel is the son of Jalal Talabani (Talabani father), Bafel and Lahur are cousins. After Jalal Talabani's death in 2017 a power struggle started between Bafel and Lahur. It resulted in Bafel gaining the support of many of the influential first generation PUK members, Lahur losing influence and series of arrests against Lahur's men, appointments on critical positions within PUK's security services that are close to Bafel Talabani. Bafel Talabani even told Lahur that he has to support him or leave Iraq. There is a serious rift between the two and the killing of Bafel may make him a "martyr" which would unite PUK strong under Lahur Talabani and he will most probably be the undisputed leader of PUK. He is also a PKK supporter.

Our surgical strikes must be surgical indeed. With our strikes we must ensure that we cripple PUK's intelligence and security, we must ensure that the relevant figures within PUK feel threatened, the morale and motivation within the PUK security services for cooperation with PKK drops, we must ensure that we give the needed message so the influential figures within the security system of PUK tell Bafel "The Turks are not joking, lets make a step backwards", but in the same time not making him a martyr. If we need to go a step further we must start a campaign against Bafel, create a tension around his inner circle, make sure he lose some trust and encourage the further dismemberment of the PUK making it lose influence in their controlled areas because of the rifts.

Delightful insight. Thank you.

 

[Huelague]

Do it the American way. Shot first! And think/ask later.

 

[Sanchez]

Do it the American way. Shot first! And think/ask later.

We've seen over the last 30 years that American way doesn't work with failure after failure.

 

[what]

And again, unlike the US which is an ocean and a continent away. We don't have that luxury, we will suffer the consequences of our actions. In any scenario, along our border.

Civil war somewhere? Migration wave, terrorism spike
War between two armed groups? Migration wave, terrorism spike
War between two countries? Migration wave, terrorism spike and economic turmoil because Iraq (in this example) is one of our biggest trading partners.

 

[Angry Turk !!!]

Damn, what a cursed region this is...

 

[Bozan]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1765652729098027077

Might just be talk

 

[DBdev]

Bafel too will meet his maker at the business end of a Turkish drone very soon for supporting PKK and 9/11 greater Israel project. MIT doesn't do bluffs.

 

[Kartal1]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766183919441887549

 

[Afif]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766183919441887549

How organized are they? Do they even have separate intelligence directorate?

 

[Kartal1]

How organized are they? Do they even have separate intelligence directorate?

They are extremely organized. If they had the chance to establish a State I am sure they will do better than the DEASH so-called Khalifate.

They are mainly split in 3 branches.

Legislative

Executive

Judiciary

For example within the Executive branch there are Public Defence, Economic, Political, Social and Ideological centers. Under these there are committees.

For example under the Political Center they have Policy, Ecology, Law, Foreign Relations, Minorities and Religious Groups committees.

I am explaining this so you can have a a reference on how the whole organization is structured. They cover everything from education to military academies, special forces, courts etc.

In 2016 the Turkish General Directorate for Security (Police) Intelligence sent a report to all 81 provinces in Turkiye regarding the threats and developments regarding PKK. On this report it was stated that a new structure is formed within PKK named "Nevanda Legerine Politik" or NLP that is directly tied to the Strategic Policies Research Center of the KCK's General Presidential Council. It was determined that NLP is the new intelligence wing of PKK.

 

[Bozan]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766383741897752582

Sounds like bullshit on the border closing but let's see

 

[Kartal1]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766383741897752582

Sounds like bullshit on the border closing but let's see

Close the border? If they are talking on the Iraq-Syria border this is impossible. If the operation is as speculated in Tepe Bahar it will go for months even more than a year.

There are also rumors on operation in Syria and closing the borders would make sense to prevent fighters fleeing to Iraq and in this sense there is some possibility for closing the border for guys with uniforms and transferring the names of the ones that crossed the border to MIT for examination. Analyzers are not looking too positive on a possible operation in Syria, but even if it happens I don't think it will target areas close to Malikiya. Maybe Tal Rifat.

 

[Sanchez]

Security meeting in Claw-Lock Zone

MSB: Our operations in northern Iraq are carried out in close coordination with Iraqi security units.

In this context, 2nd Army Commander Lieutenant General Metin Tokel and the accompanying delegation held a border security meeting with Iraqi local officials.

In the meeting held with Iraqi local officials within the borders of the Claw-Kilit Operation Zone, the security of the Iraq-Turkey border line was discussed, while measures to increase the security of Iraqi citizens were also discussed.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1767478843323949071

Army delegation met with the Iraqi border guard contingent up north. @Kartal1