Live Conflict Military Operations Syria
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Alleged UCAV strike on a PKK target in Kharabisq, on the M4 highway leading to Manbij and Ayn Al Arab in close proximity to the Lafarge cement factory.
Yeni Safak says the YPG flew 8 Iranian shahed-136 kamikaze drones in Euphrates shield yesterday, which sounds like bullshit
Syria holds the key to improved US-Turkey ties
It is crucial that the United States and Turkey overcome their differences because the governments need to strengthen their alliance—especially as it concerns Syria.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
Our SETA think tank member publishes the following in western think tanks:
NE remains autonomous, (I assume that is what preserving Syrian Kurdish gains means) we protect it while removing PKK (again assumed).
The same guy recently published that a US withdrawal not coordinated with Erdogan is going to be very bad for Turkish calculations in Syria.
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This is the original plan from before 2016. Ypg continues to exist, cuts ties with KCK and becomes like KDP. It was always a bad plan because YPG is PKK, they have no bad blood between them. The moment someone else offered them a better plan, be is US or Russia, they took it, which made the 3 ops we did a necessity from our pov.
Erdogan government don’t think they have what it takes to create their own game in N Syria without third party help against Iran and Russia. This is the reason for this all delay, nothing else.
Well they have proven that they in fact do not have what it takes. How can one expect a group of people who cant even properly manage their own country be able to create a functioning proxy force, consisting of a bunch of groups who would otherwise be busy killing each other?
June 16th, US airstrikes a compound in Africa and kills a senior ISIS leader:
Turkish media/SNA side - 1 or more civilians reported killed:
SNA are out of the loop
Turkish media/SNA side - 1 or more civilians reported killed:
SNA are out of the loop
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It's a shame because TSK could wipe Syria clean if it wanted to. But we literally helped form one of the worst proxy forces imaginable. Neither their image, nor their fighting capabilities are good. Let's not forget that the CIA created FSA and egged us on to support them from the beginning.
Everyone from the middle east wants to move to Türkiye... So why not create a proxy force that aims to emulate Türkiye's laws and values? That way we can easily get rid of refugees and expand our area of influence. Instead we have tribal Islamists who can't stop fighting each other.
The US came from the other side of the planet and somehow convinced the world that YPG were the good guys. We have no one to blame but our government, what were these idiots doing the whole time?
YeşilVatan
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There's not enough people that wants to emulate the values of the republic who would also fight. Same thing with Kurds and Turkmen in North Iraq. I would also like to see Türkmeneli realized, but there's not enough Turkmen who would fight for it. This is true for all sides on this war. For Assad regime there is a manpower shortage, most of them are hezbollah or Shia militia from god knows where. YPG conscripts arabs like there's no tomorrow.
This is not a war like the world wars, where entire populations were mobilized with crushing drive and motivation. It's more like the 30 years war, where actors try to find or persuade people who are more or less mercenaries to do the fighting, with some ideology stuff sprinkled on top. Because people on all sides don't really believe the cause.
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It's not bullshit. There is dangerous drone activity in the area, but we can't be sure it's the Shahed-136. It may be other UAV model.
Such a scenario can only be realized under certain conditions with the ENKS as "the main character". The problem is that the locals in the majority of Kurdish areas are PKK/Ocalan supporters. Some of the most influential family names in PKK originate in the north of Syria. This cancerous ideology is embedded in them, no matter if we talk about the old or new generation.Syria holds the key to improved US-Turkey ties
It is crucial that the United States and Turkey overcome their differences because the governments need to strengthen their alliance—especially as it concerns Syria.
Our SETA think tank member publishes the following in western think tanks:
NE remains autonomous, (I assume that is what preserving Syrian Kurdish gains means) we protect it while removing PKK (again assumed).
The same guy recently published that a US withdrawal not coordinated with Erdogan is going to be very bad for Turkish calculations in Syria.
Nothing is irreversible, but it will take years and tons of work in order to bring the ENKS level of influence to where it should be and establish the needed conditions where we can simulate some kind of freedom so we can keep their mouths (and weapons) shut, while actually keeping their life support in our hands and creating conditions for our business in their areas. The problem is that PKK will not stand still and more than half of this battle depends on local support. Russia and Iran are also factors we can't ignore and they make the calculation even harder.
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For the second day in a row, a military convoy of 25+ vehicles belonging to the Turkish Armed Forces, consisting of APCs and tanks, entered the Bab al-Hawa border gate and deployed to the Turkish Armed Forces bases in Jabal az-Zawiyah, south of Idlib.
It is reported by local sources that TSK brought heavy EW reinforcements in order to create a counter-measure for the kamikaze drones that pose a threat to Turkish positions. It is reported that the EW systems brought to Idlib are of all kinds of levels, covering the whole spectrum of threats.
After the increased level of kamikaze drone threats that is due to the PKK intensifying their drone operations both in Iraq and in Syria, the footprint that points at similar origins and the earlier SAA FPV threats towards our bases in Idlib, looks like TSK took the right decision to deploy measures in order to counter these threats. Many drones were intercepted in Iraq in the last month due to the effective counter-measures deployed by TSK and I hope the same and even better result will be achieved in Syria.
It is reported by local sources that TSK brought heavy EW reinforcements in order to create a counter-measure for the kamikaze drones that pose a threat to Turkish positions. It is reported that the EW systems brought to Idlib are of all kinds of levels, covering the whole spectrum of threats.
After the increased level of kamikaze drone threats that is due to the PKK intensifying their drone operations both in Iraq and in Syria, the footprint that points at similar origins and the earlier SAA FPV threats towards our bases in Idlib, looks like TSK took the right decision to deploy measures in order to counter these threats. Many drones were intercepted in Iraq in the last month due to the effective counter-measures deployed by TSK and I hope the same and even better result will be achieved in Syria.
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Wouldn't such snakepits not be a prime target for Intelligence/underground criminal extension units ? I mean, why allow masterminds of such ideology to draw breath ?
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It is, but what we can target with these units are targets of big importance and more importantly members of the terrorist organization.
If we start targeting people because they support the established system we will never see the end of it.
The majority of population in the north of Syria is consisted of Kurds. Currently the situation is even worse as many Arabs and Kurds who don't support this ideology were forced to leave. Unfortunately we can't let these people out of the equation as they don't exist.
Currently what I think is that we should replace this radical ideology with something branded as Kurdish, but more moderate and the ENKS (KDP supported Kurdish party, opposition to PYD) can play a big role in this. Due to the fact that ENKS poses a threat to PYD they are being oppressed, attacked and killed. This is what we should have prevented. We can't get the time back and cry over what we could've or couldn't done so we should develop a new plan.
In my humble opinion what we can do is apply the same system in Syria as in Iraq. In Iraq we managed to put KDP and PKK in a state where they fight with each other and are on the brink of an open conflict. Due to the fact that ENKS is an extension of the Iraqi KDP we can convince KDP to assist us limit PYDs influence and present another Kurdish block (a political alternative), press them to comply with our terms and this will be a win-win. In the face of KDP we got the perfect key to the social engineering console of the Kurds in Iraq and Syria. We just have to use it responsibly and ensure balance between power and dependence (to us).
Basically we should strengthen the position of ENKS using KDPs money, reestablish the ENKS armed wing (Rojava Peshmerga) with KDP's help which would protect ENKS areas from PYD with KRG and Turkish guarantees, develop a high quality psychological warfare and propaganda in order to further amplify the ENKS's stance and create distrust in PYD (there are many things we can use), create radio broadcasts and other media in order to ensure that ENKS is heard where it needs to be heard, develop the intelligence network in PYDs administrative wing so we can gather information about non-ethical practices, fraud and corruption which we will show to the people of the north of Syria.
Long story short, we should aim at replacing the current ideology with a more moderate one and work it from there because it is unrealistically to think that the locals will miraculously drop support for PYD while the region is carrying symbolic importance for the PKK and PKK has deep rooted traditions there. Step by step.
Note that what I say doesn't include the factors of Trump, Russia and Iran so it carries little to no importance and is based just on internal processes within the society in the north of Syria and wishful thinking. I still think we may have a chance to implement part of this concept, but it depends on the US withdrawal and what will be the power of Russia and Iran in these areas.
The situation is very, very hard to predict currently and this is why our strategists should be ready with plans and concepts for every possible scenario, backed by the realistic estimation of our capabilities.
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For the third day in a row, a large military convoy belonging to the Turkish Armed Forces entered the Bab al-Hawa border gate and deployed to bases in Idlib, Shanan, Farkiya, Serce, Ahsim and Bare.
Reinforcements also took place in the western countryside of Idlib. In total, the reinforcements took place in the southeastern front line of Idlib and the western countryside.
10+ units of military equipment were sent yesterday in another batch out of the 25+ we talked about earlier.
Reinforcements also took place in the western countryside of Idlib. In total, the reinforcements took place in the southeastern front line of Idlib and the western countryside.
10+ units of military equipment were sent yesterday in another batch out of the 25+ we talked about earlier.
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A military convoy of the Turkish Armed Forces, consisting of APCs and logistics vehicles, entered the Bab al-Hawa border gate and deployed to the bases in Idlib/Jabal az-Zawiyah.
Ryder
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Syrian Turkmens and the Iraqi Turkmens are too small in population to form their own states.
As much I want Turkmenli to be our neighbours and a new Turkic nation it will never happen.
Because the Arabs and the Kurds outnumber them. Not to mention secratarianism plays a role its hard to unite Sunni Iraqi Turkmens alongside Shia Iraqi Turkmens. The divide between is too big as much I want them put aside their differences it will never happen.
Only way Turks able to make TRNC because most of the population were Turkish Cypriots.
If Turkmenli happens then you will have more Arabs and Kurds than Turkmens. It will never work unfortunately.
For decades Turkiye respecting Iraq and Syria's territory was a mistake.
World should take threat of WWIII seriously: FM Fidan
Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan warned about the risk of World War III, amid the escalation of regional crises and the threat of nuclear war, as he...
Most actors in the SNA that are serious and not gangsters will view these statements as negative / betrayal.
This sounds like capitulation
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