Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

UkroTurk

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Relic

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The Netherlands 🇳🇱 has announced that they will donate $100 million Euros to thr Czech initiative to purchase 800,000 artillery shells for Ukraine, outside of Europe. The Dutch have joined the Czechs 🇨🇿, Germans 🇩🇪, Canadians 🇨🇦 and Danes 🇩🇰 as countries that have openly admitted to helping fund the coalition. It has been noted that there are other participants involved that would like to be kept anonymous.

 

Relic

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Russia will stop exporting gasoline / petrol for a period of 6 months due to a shortage of refined products in Russia and associated rising domestic prices. They're facing "unplanned maintenance" at multiple refineries that were stuck with Ukrainain drones.


Meanwhile, Russia plans to take a loan from China 🇨🇳 in Yuan, as it is burning through its foreign currency reserves at an alarming rate and neither India, nor China want to accept the Ruble (Monopoly money) as currency in trade deals.


More drone strikesion OnG infrastructure in Russia would be ideal. They're clearly affecting the Russians and they're fairly cheap to execute.
 
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Relic

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Relic

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France 🇫🇷 has now changed their stance and will now support the Czech 🇨🇿 lead initiative to purchase 800,000 artillery artillery shells for Ukraine 🇺🇦. President Macron seemed to indicate that France will actually now participate in the purchase. Czech President Pavel has stated that there are now 15 countries involved in the purchase that will cost $1.5 Billion usd ($1875 per shell).

 

almogaver

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The Russians 🇷🇺 lost another SU-34 today. It was shot down over Ukraine attempting to provide air support. There is no word yet on the status of the pilot. One can only hope he didn't survive, or at the very least, is captured.

This marks the 5th SU-34 that Russia has lost in week.




Not a good day for Russian air dominance. It seems they lost a second one.

 

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Russia hasn't even managed to destroy Ukraine's air capability, never mind NATO's. When F-16s arrive to Ukraine and continue operating, will you admit that what you just wrote here is nonsense?
Legend has it that I am still waiting for this day to see a Ukrainian aircraft bomb russian troops, its nonexistant to the point it doesn't hinder Russia's current advances. The F-16s are supposedly meant to be operated in, "spring" and Ukraine right now has a few defensive lines left before the urban area of Donetsk is left and large open area to the north would allow huge russian advancement. There is also a high chance there might be an offensive similiar to the beginning of the war after Putin wins re-election in the middle of March. With that much territory getting covered it wouldn't come as a surprise if NATO changed their mind in the last minute before Ukraine starts operating the F-16s in their territory. If Russians allow them, they might be salivating from the mouth to score an air kill or air defense operators whacking them for a more humiliating destruction than doing it the easy way launching missiles at runways.

The fact alone that they are dropping FABs which have 40-50km ranges and at 10km altitudes means there are no long-range air defense present or nearby or any Ukrainian aircraft to go intercept them but that has not been the case for quite a long time. Even if Ukraine has 1-20 aircrafts it doesn't matter to them because they are freely bombing Ukrainians with FABs without a care in the world. It might be just cheaper for the Russians to take more land and launch drones, MLRS rockets, air to air missiles or SAM's then to use million-dollar cruise missiles or hypersonic missiles to target them. Are those Ukrainian aircrafts stopping Russians from dropping FABs on Ukrainian heads? I think you and I know the answer is no.

Sorry if I made this explanation simpler than it is.
 

blackjack

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Not a good day for Russian air dominance. It seems they lost a second one.

That looks like a drone, is this another 7 Russian aircrafts in a week without proofs claim again? If Ukrainians are winning that bad than they should bring those air defenses closer to stop the Russians from dropping FABs from high altitudes which should be simple to do for any air defense.
 

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Dont think NATO or even France would have even been involved in the war if they didn't want to deal with Wagner in their backyard in Africa before leaving in December lol.

S-500 intercepts an SLBM
But I guess they shouldn't worry much if Britian's own Trident misfired last week a few yards away.

drone jammers on kamaz trucks
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Russian HIMARs
I like how one of the missiles have 5 shells with parachute option that uses infrared sensors to scan the ground and launch a 2km/s shell at armored vehicled option from the top which would be sufficient enough to destroy any hardkill APS present on a tank.
 

Ecderha

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blackjack

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Russian drone jammers

referencing blogs but not interviewing the soldiers that use them, Is tucker Carlson the only journalist that interviewed a Russian? It would probably take NATO like 3 years to come up with a solution by the time it arrives on the battlefield. But western news complaints are not stopping the Russians from supposedly putting the useless jammers on anyways or stopping them from advancing on the frontline
Today NATO discussed for soldiers deployment in Ukraine .
Tick- tock, Tick tock - time is running out for ruzzia

Macron had a chance to prove the French armys worth in Africa against Wagner and they outnumbered Wagner, what happened?

Many many ruzzian junks destroyed in the Novomykhailivka area.
one vehicle with smoke? atleast the russians have the courtesy showing us destroyed Ukrainian equipment.
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Relic

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Bloomberg is reporting that it's now official... At a meeting in Paris, EU members agreed to spend $1.5 Billion usd to purchase 500,000 155mm artillery shells and 300,000 122mm artillery shells from nations abroad, for Ukraine 🇺🇦, to bridge the gap while America sorts out its supplemental package and European manufacturers ramp up production.

As many as 15 European countries and Canada 🇨🇦 will donate to the intiative, with deliveries scheduled to begin in a few weeks. The 800,000 combined shells are expected to last 4-6 months in Ukraine, as additional supplies come online across Europe.

Germany 🇧🇪 recently ordered 120,000, 122mm artillery shells from Bulgaria 🇧🇬, all which are to be delivered in 2024.

Overall, in the last week, Ukraine has received commitments that will see them receive an additional 920,000'ish artillery shells. Most importantly, these shells do not have a late 2024 / early 2025 timeline. The overwhelming majority of the shells can be delivered quickly.

It's expected that when additional aid from USA 🇺🇸 is approved in Congress, the Americans will be able to send a further 300,000-500,000 shells within the first couple months.


 

blackjack

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I am hearing about movement in Robotyne, Avdeevka, Chasov Yar and the north but it is still a bit early so I will do a battle report later.

Orlivka has been the town that Russia has been trying to get to west of Avdeevka. As far as I understand the Ukrainian logistical situation if they don't hold Orlivka they will have an extremely difficult time supplying everything east of that river line next to Orlivka. There is also another river beyond Orlivka and once the Russians take Orlivka there is not a lot stopping Russia from doing the same thing with the next River.

Ukraine needs to pull back quite a bit. Ukraine wanted to hold Orlivka originally and it looks like they will eventually try and hold the stuff west of the Orlivka river once Orlivka turns into a disaster. This is kind of like Napoleon trying to winter in Moscow and then retreating and trying to winter in Smolensk and then retreating from the entirety of Russia.
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That Green line is basically where they are trying to hold now. They need to be on the west side of the yellow line if they want to stabilize this situation at all. Ukraine has demonstrated a supreme unwillingness to retreat when it is a good idea so we shall see if they do that. I don't think this operation will complete destroy Ukraine in this area if it successful but it will absolutely mangle already understrength, for the tasks given to them, Ukrainian units. Death spiral time.
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Interesting word of mouth on Telegram. I can believe it and it seems realistic. There are lots of Russian Commentators who have soldiers they know in this location and that location and they ask about how things are going. It lends credence to the Avdeevka fell really easily theory. Of course it is just some guy at the end of the day so be a bit more suspicious of it than usual.
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Russia killed a Battalion Commander in Chasov Yar using an airstrike. I bring this up to point out a under-reported and murky part of this war especially now. Russia is dropping tons of Ordinance and this combined with the infantry is causing a lot of Casualties for Ukraine. We don't see those Casualties and they often go unreported in a lot of ways but they are there. Even if a certain section of the front doesn't move it doesn't mean nothing is happening and no pressure is being applied.
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