Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

[Nykyus]

It is reported that militants of the Turkish far-right extremist organization "Gray Wolves" have been transferred to Ukraine

Militants of the Turkish extremist organization "Gray Wolves", which has close ties with the CIA and NATO, have been transferred to Ukraine. The appearance of far-right Turkish nationalists on Ukrainian territory is reported by Semyon Pegov, the creator of the WarGonzo project, covering the military special operation of Russian troops from the very beginning.

According to the available information received from sources in the territory controlled by Kiev, as well as according to the results of radio intercepts, Turkish militants in the number of 3 thousand people were transferred to Ukraine via Poland about 10 days ago. After crossing the border, Western curators conducted a final briefing and divided the militants into three detachments of 1 thousand fighters each.

Now these formations of "Gray Wolves" have been transferred to the Kharkiv and Odessa-Mykolaiv directions. During the passage of the militants through Zhmerinka, the presence of heavy armored vehicles and artillery was noted. It is assumed that the militants can be used to counterattack Russian troops in these two directions.

It is emphasized that the "Gray Wolves" have extensive experience in conducting combat operations, including against the Russian army in Syria.

Recall that the Turkish extremist organization "Gray Wolves" (Bozkurtlar) was created back in the late 50s of the last century with the help of the CIA as a combat youth link of the ultra-right "National Action Party". The direct creator and leader of the organization was the Turkish Colonel Alparslan Turkesh, an admirer of Adolf Hitler and an open fascist who claimed the superiority of the Turkish race. The organization is based on the principles of pan-Turkism.

In addition to Turkey itself, the organization has its branches in Europe, mainly in Germany, the Netherlands and Belgium, and has close ties with the CIA.

https://topwar.ru/195536-soobschaet...-jekstremistskoj-organizacii-serye-volki.html

 

[UkroTurk]

Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed another Russian ship - Arestovich


Aleksey Arestovich, adviser to the head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, said that the Ukrainian military could have destroyed another Russian ship last night. However, these data still require confirmation.

Arestovich made the corresponding statement during his traditional evening briefing on the situation at the front.

 

[UkroTurk]

Ukrainian military in Donbas destroyed 5 enemy tanks and an anti-aircraft gun in a day

Last 24 hours in Donbas, Ukrainian defenders destroyed 5 tanks, one artillery system, 21 armored vehicles, one armored fighting vehicle, one vehicle and one anti-aircraft gun.

Air defense units in the sky of the Ukrainian Donbass shot down one cruise missile and three unmanned aerial vehicles of the Orlan-10 type.

At the same time, the fighters of the operational-tactical group "Vostok" repel enemy attacks, 75 Russian invaders were destroyed.

The report says that today in the area of responsibility, the Russian fascist troops held 3 attacks, battles continue

 

[UkroTurk]

The intensity of "demilitarization" of the border regions of the Russian Federation will increase significantly - Podolyak

Mikhail Podolyak / photo UNIAN


In recent weeks, explosions have been occurring in the Russian Federation, in particular at oil depots in areas bordering Ukraine.


"This invasion has already been going on for more than two months and we do not see its end a little, we will see it a little later, but in the interests of Ukraine. Such an intensity of the conflict will certainly affect the border regions of the Russian Federation ... Panic moods will grow rapidly there. Conflict situations will appear there "Warehouses will explode there. And it will only deepen. The intensity of the "demilitarization" ... of the Russian Federation, especially in the border areas, in my opinion, will only increase significantly in the coming weeks," Podolyak said.

According to him, this will finally cause the Russians to ask what they are doing in Ukraine, why people have been massacred in Ukraine for more than two months now, and what price they are willing to pay for it.

"Because these warehouses and these bases of fuels and lubricants - this will all be a consequence, these will be debt payments that the Russian Federation begins to pay for the war," said the adviser to the head of the Presidential Office.

 

[Nilgiri]

Larger scale of North & South Korean warzone, also any chance Ukraine would get the Crimean back?

It is in the long term beyond the current horizon we can model overall. Russia will have to be depleted in strength and probably have coups/revolutions internally to some degree downroad first.

Otherwise taking back crimea and even donbass remains very expensive for ukraine.

I feel the likely scenario is (mid term) is more of ensuring state-survival and as little further territorial loss as possible with all the allied help possible.

Things like:

- Keep destroying russian forces as efficiently as possible and as they present themselves for it
- Restore some semblance of economy/livelihoods in more secure parts of Ukraine
- Let US, EU, NATO etc deal with the strategic heavyweight stuff...while UKR stay focused on whats more immediately in front of it
- Wait for damage in Russia to accumulate internally

Then long term, UKR can see whats do-able to get its borders back to original ones again.

Lot of it depends how/when/why Russia fractures etc....and that simply we cannot project right now.

Russia in current state of existence and Ukraine in original state of its existence are nearly 100% mutually exclusive.

 

[Dmitry]

In Kherson, people went to a peaceful rally against the Russian occupation


View attachment 43193
Rashists began to disperse the crowd, using tear gas and flash-noise bombs. Putin's regime in all its glory.

Харьков Life | Харків 🇺🇦

t.me

People of Kherson against the referendum on the creation of KherNR!!!

KherNR (ХерНР - ukr/ros) - Kherson Narodna Respublica (ukr) - Kherson People's Republic.

in Russian/Ukrainian Kher (Хер) means dick.

 

[Bogeyman]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1519425160390090755

 

[UkroTurk]

Chance to get aviation:

Chance to get aviation: a military expert spoke about the US lend-lease for Ukraine

According to the expert, lend-lease will include the entire range of weapons that exists today in those countries that agree to supply them.

The Government of the United States of America will vote for the lend-lease project (provision of weapons) for Ukraine. It is quite possible that Ukraine will receive the weapons it asks for.

Military expert Oleg Zhdanov spoke about this on the air of the telethon.

He stressed that Lend-Lease will include the entire range of weapons that exists today in those countries that agree to supply them.

"Weapons that are in those countries with which the United States has reached an agreement on guarantees of repurchase or purchase on credit. We have every chance of getting ultra-modern weapons, in particular combat aircraft," Zhdanov said.

According to Zhdanov, the European Union has de facto created Lend-Lease. He recalled that by decision of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe, all military assistance is provided to Ukraine at the expense of the EU.

 

[Nilgiri]

Thing is, Russian doctrine still keeps an escalation rung below strategic nuclear war, something called "theatre" or tactical nuclear strikes. 203mm artillery shells or rockets with a 2-10 KT yield. NATO had those in their inventory as well in the 80's but got rid of them during one of the disarmament rounds.
In fact, NATO doctrine allowed for first use of tac-nukes at that time, but that has changed now.

So there is a disparity in escalation that could possibly be exploited by the russian regime where they would use a single nuke against something in Ukraine. If that happens NATO would have to escalate even further into strategic nuclear war territory. So the question turns into, would NATO start a full scale nuclear war?

Any sane person would never take those odds, but then I sincerely doubt there is a sane person in charge of russia right now.

Yes NATO will escalate to an all out war (and russia knows where it stands there, including what NATO will do first to as many Russian strategic nukes as possible), there is an action plan developed for some time now if Russia uses a device "tactically".

The issue is you allow one like that, Russia knows it can do so again....and the same amount of people will die anyway at that point.

So you call that hard and fast the first time you see it....when the other decided to "call" what they thought was your bluff.

This has all been made amply clear to Russian side....if they want to not submit at that point and go for their total annihilation anyway...just to take down as much of world with them, that's on them (and in all stages of their CnC to get in a line which they really dont want to find out).

In fact any detected attempted move to mating of a warhead to an iskandar will get a full aerial onslaught from NATO to stop it. Russia will have a window to reconsider during all of that.... to still exist as some entity. But that goes away if they reach for more.

 

[Madokafc]

It is in the long term beyond the current horizon we can model overall. Russia will have to be depleted in strength and probably have coups/revolutions internally to some degree downroad first.

Otherwise taking back crimea and even donbass remains very expensive for ukraine.

I feel the likely scenario is (mid term) is more of ensuring state-survival and as little further territorial loss as possible with all the allied help possible.

Things like:

- Keep destroying russian forces as efficiently as possible and as they present themselves for it
- Restore some semblance of economy/livelihoods in more secure parts of Ukraine
- Let US, EU, NATO etc deal with the strategic heavyweight stuff...while UKR stay focused on whats more immediately in front of it
- Wait for damage in Russia to accumulate internally

Then long term, UKR can see whats do-able to get its borders back to original ones again.

Lot of it depends how/when/why Russia fractures etc....and that simply we cannot project right now.

Russia in current state of existence and Ukraine in original state of its existence are nearly 100% mutually exclusive.

I think Russia can keep between 150,000 to 200,000 troops grinding in the battlefield in Ukraine at most at any given day for at least six month to a year length time deployment with the current attrition rates of today as they keep suffered between one hundred to two hundreds death casualties a day and between two hundreds to five hundreds of other injury and any Type of medical discharge. Heard they already bringing around 60,000 new recruit to Ukraine from rural Russian region in the last month. And to keep replenished the frontline units they need to bring at least between 50,000 to 60,000 fresh troops every two month and that's mean they need around 300,000 to 360,000 fresh blood for a year time deployment with current strength and too with around 80,000 to 120,000 death casualties would be expected with the current attrition rates more than that for injury and other casualties.

 

[UkroTurk]

Plane, rocket and many drones: new air losses of the Russian Federation in Ukraine

00:29, 04/28/22

"During the day on April 27, units of the anti-aircraft missile forces of the Air Force and the Ground Forces hit eight air targets," the report says.

In particular, we are talking about one aircraft (presumably a Su-34), a cruise missile and six operational-tactical drones.

The intensity of "demilitarization" of the border regions of the Russian Federation will increase significantly


In recent weeks, explosions have been occurring in the Russian Federation, in particular at oil depots in areas bordering Ukraine.


"This invasion has already been going on for more than two months and we do not see its end a little, we will see it a little later, but in the interests of Ukraine. Such an intensity of the conflict will certainly affect the border regions of the Russian Federation ... Panic moods will grow rapidly there. Conflict situations will appear there "Warehouses will explode there. And it will only deepen. The intensity of the "demilitarization" ... of the Russian Federation, especially in the border areas, in my opinion, will only increase significantly in the coming weeks," Podolyak said.

Russian Belgorod city is being said to get new gifts tonight
Edit: they have started getting.
Russia- Belgorod

Air defense works over Belgorod.

Труха⚡️Україна

Над Белгородом работает ПВО. ТРУХА⚡️Украина | Прислать новость

t.me

Explosions in occupied city Kherson, most likely Ukrainian Tochka-U blow TV antenna in order to quit Russian TV channels.

 

[Nilgiri]

I chuckled reading this.....there are plenty folks there way more delusional than the top egghead

'Are we fighting or masturbating?' Russian army 'wants all-out war'

Russian military figures have pleaded with Putin to resume an all-out war on Ukraine, asking: 'Are we fighting a war or masturbating?' The Kremlin has pivoted to the eastern Donbas region.

www.dailymail.co.uk

 

[Nilgiri]

These people.......man, peak delusion isn't even going to start to describe them....

They make memri tv seem rational and grounded....Good lord

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1519417943955808257

 

[Barry]

These people.......man, peak delusion isn't even going to start to describe them....

They make memri tv seem rational and grounded....Good lord

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1519417943955808257

Truly mental.

 

[Bogeyman]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1519452001909850119

 

[Ryder]

Reminds me on Denipropetrowsk Maniacs even though is not as bad as them yet.

That shit made me feeI unwell I know about the killings. They recorded their shit and posted on the internet most of their footage got destroyed by authorities because it was too disturbing but one made it on the internet called 3 guys and 1 hammer. I recommend not watching it because its not for the faint hearted and pretty awful.

These pieces of shit deserve the electric chair or the sword. For filth like these they give the best argument for a death penalty.

 

[Fuzuli NL]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1519331189466796032

They should give the six F-35s formerly meant for Türkiye to Ukraine. With Turkish blessings.

 

[Fuzuli NL]

Destroyed Russian helicopter

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1519369249353093121

They burn like incense sticks!

 

[Lool]

Ukraine really should take care from this front
Iam 90% sure that this is what the Russians are planning for now
Honestly, I dont think that Ukraine has the sufficient manpower for another front and considering that Russia has been losing a lot in the Mykolaiv Region, they probably either want a 2-way pincer attack after linking with the rebels in Moldova and then taking Odessa

Then they will increase pressure to take Mykolaiv and then will probably try to reach for a ceasefire

Ukraine should build makeshift bridges and start sending some troops from the Northern front to supply and protect the area

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1519450776539648001

 

[Era_shield]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1519257689469161478