Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

[Relic]

An updated list of military aid provided to Ukraine by Croatia has emerged. The list includes the following items that were not announced previously.

- 2 Antonov 32-B transport planes
- 40 D-30 122mm howitzers
- 35,000 Zastava M70 assault rifles
- 5,000 FN FAL assault rifles
- Anti-tank missiles
- Large caliber machine guns
- Igla MANPADS
- Strela-2 MANPADS

Besides Two AN-32B Aircraft Croatia Might've Sent 40 D-30 Howitzers to Ukraine | Defense Express

Over the past few days, information has emerged that Ukraine received two An-32B transport aircraft from Croatia as military aid. One of these aircraft has already been spotted with the identification marks of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine (SESU).

en.defence-ua.com

Bulgaria will provide Ukraine with a new $30 million usd defense package consisting of what they call "excess ammunition" from their military inventories. The exact contents of the package were not released, but it's believed to be of the Soviet types and calibers that Ukraine still uses.

Bulgaria to Offer Surplus Ammunition to Ukraine in New Aid Package | Defense Express

Acting Defense Minister announces potential military aid following equipment review

en.defence-ua.com

 

[Bogeyman]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1816039289890668947

The Chinese Foreign Ministry announced that Ukraine is ready to negotiate with the Russians.

 

[Slayer]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1815472719045198291

IMPORTANT: French and British soldiers killed in Ukraine! “I asked for confirmation and they told me that it is accurate. So, the Russians carried out an attack on Odessa, which killed 18 members of the British Special Air Service and injured 25 more. And they tell me that French soldiers died, not mercenaries who are French, no, these are soldiers of the French army. They were killed in large numbers.” — Colonel of the Spanish Army Reserve Pedro Baños

If true - there will be payback. Ten fold. More interestingly. What were they doing there?

 

[Agha Sher]

The situation is looking increasingly bleak for Ukraine. The frontline is slowly crumbling in multiple areas and we are reaching closer to a point of strategic collapse.
Ukraine is running out of soldiers and willingness to fight. Russia yet again close to winning through their usual fashion of tiring and depleting the opponent.

 

[Gary]

So how's life Ukraine?

Looks like your troops in Krasnogorovka has been encircled, Russia has expand beyond Prohres, occupied the center of Niu York, Novoselivka Persha the strong point westof Avdiivka is now occupied.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1816086111552495979

 

[Kartal1]

So how's life Ukraine?

Looks like your troops in Krasnogorovka has been encircled, Russia has expand beyond Prohres, occupied the center of Niu York, Novoselivka Persha the strong point westof Avdiivka is now occupied.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1816086111552495979

Damn! I thought Turkiye was going to lose Crimea for a second. Welcome back!

 

[Relic]

Good news on the military aid front. After further auditing aid sent to Ukraine using Presidential Drawdown Authority, the USA Pentagon found a further $2 Billion usd in depreciation errors regarding the equipment they've sent to Ukraine. As a result, the U.S. Will add $2 Billion usd to its Presidential Drawdown Authority pool of funds for Ukraine.

What can be sent for $2 Billion usd in funds? Here are a couple examples...

- 500 additional Bradley M2-ODS IFVs

OR

- 800,000 155mm artillery shells

OR

- 650 PAC 2/3 Patriot missiles

OR

- 2,600 AMRAAM missiles for NASAMS

OR

- 6,5000 AIM-9M sidewinders for NASAMS

Obviously, the money will be broken up between numerous weapons, but the point is that you can send a lot of kit out of U.S. inventories for that kind of money. Especially because items are valued in depreciated fashion rather than at book value.

Pentagon Finds Another $2 Billion Of Accounting Errors For Ukraine Aid

The Pentagon has found $2 billion worth of additional errors in its calculations for ammunition, missiles, and other equipment sent to Ukraine, a U.S. government report revealed on July 25.

www.google.com

Pentagon finds accounting errors worth $2 billion in aid for Ukraine

Due to the errors, the Defense Department can send a further $2 billion in weapons to Ukraine to cover the amount already approved by U.S. President Joe Biden.

kyivindependent.com

 

[Soldier30]

Footage of the first strike by the Russian Lancet-52 kamikaze drone on a Ukrainian 120mm M120 Rak self-propelled mortar, made in Poland. The M120 Rak self-propelled mortar has been produced since 2016 and was previously in service with the 44th separate mechanized brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. As a result of the Lancet drone strike, a fire started in the self-propelled mortar, which completely destroyed the combat vehicle; the location of the video shooting and what happened to the crew are unknown.

 

[Agha Sher]

Rapid collapse of Ukraine's army on the Pokrovsk front. Ukraine is losing a few villages on this front on a daily basis. Pokrovsk's is a major strategic city for Ukraine's military logistics in Donetsk and Luhansk. Frontline could be only 15km from the city.

 

[Relic]

Rapid collapse of Ukraine's army on the Pokrovsk front. Ukraine is losing a few villages on this front on a daily basis. Pokrovsk's is a major strategic city for Ukraine's military logistics in Donetsk and Luhansk. Frontline could be only 15km form them city.

Reminder that Russia occupied 18% of Ukraine at the beginning of 2024. That number has now risen to approximately 18.3% of Ukraine after 7 months of heavy fighting this year in which Russia's army resources (namely tanks, IFVs, APCs and Artillery barrels) continue to be drained at a much faster pace than they can be replenished. The pace of decline is set to increase as Russia's ability to remove weapons from storage and quickly rivitalize them to replace combat losses dwindles.

Make no mistake that is happening. Russia has largely run out of T-80 tanks In storage that they can salvage. Their T-72 tanks in storage are getting lower both in numbers and quality every month as they canabilize tanks to try to make up for component shortages. We're now seeing them activate hundreds of T-62 tanks to fill gaps, meaning they are going back 50-60 years to replace their modern tanks. Meanwhile their BMP-2/3 levels have fallen off a cliff as they get chewed up at an alarming rate during their offensives and their MT-LBs have virtually run dry in storage. For some months now Russia has been sending their troops into combat on Chinese made ATVs and dirt bikes in an attempt to slow down their alarming volume of losses among convential military vehicles. They have a healthy supply of troops and are continuing to recruit 20,000-30,000 new ones per month. What they don't have are the weapons of war to carry those troops into battle with.

All of that to take 0.03% of Ukraine in 2024. They are moving a snail's pace and Ukraine's capabilities and funding are only growing. Despite some "local successes", Russia's war effort continues to be a failure. Their Kharkiv offensive this year, for example, was an unmitigated disaster.

 

[Afif]

Reminder that Russia occupied 18% of Ukraine at the beginning of 2024. That number has now risen to approximately 18.3% of Ukraine after 7 months of heavy fighting this year in which Russia's army resources (namely tanks, IFVs, APCs and Artillery barrels) continue to be drained at a much faster pace than they can be replenished. The pace of decline is set to increase as Russia's ability to remove weapons from storage and quickly rivitalize them to replace combat losses dwindles.

Make no mistake that is happening. Russia has largely run out of T-80 tanks In storage that they can salvage. Their T-72 tanks in storage are getting lower both in numbers and quality every month as they canabilize tanks to try to make up for component shortages. We're now seeing them activate hundreds of T-62 tanks to fill gaps, meaning they are going back 50-60 years to replace their modern tanks. Meanwhile their BMP-2/3 levels have fallen off a cliff as they get chewed up at an alarming rate during their offensives and their MT-LBs have virtually run dry in storage. For some months now Russia has been sending their troops into combat on Chinese made ATVs and dirt bikes in an attempt to slow down their alarming volume of losses among convential military vehicles. They have a healthy supply of troops and are continuing to recruit 20,000-30,000 new ones per month. What they don't have are the weapons of war to carry those troops into battle with.

All of that to take 0.03% of Ukraine in 2024. They are moving a snail's pace and Ukraine's capabilities and funding are only growing. Despite some "local successes", Russia's war effort continues to be a failure. Their Kharkiv offensive this year, for example, was an unmitigated disaster.

These aren't decisive. Russia does not wage war on a tactical or operational level. They wage war at strategic level. Only time can tell where this will go in the end.

 

[Agha Sher]

Reminder that Russia occupied 18% of Ukraine at the beginning of 2024. That number has now risen to approximately 18.3% of Ukraine after 7 months of heavy fighting this year in which Russia's army resources (namely tanks, IFVs, APCs and Artillery barrels) continue to be drained at a much faster pace than they can be replenished. The pace of decline is set to increase as Russia's ability to remove weapons from storage and quickly rivitalize them to replace combat losses dwindles.

Make no mistake that is happening. Russia has largely run out of T-80 tanks In storage that they can salvage. Their T-72 tanks in storage are getting lower both in numbers and quality every month as they canabilize tanks to try to make up for component shortages. We're now seeing them activate hundreds of T-62 tanks to fill gaps, meaning they are going back 50-60 years to replace their modern tanks. Meanwhile their BMP-2/3 levels have fallen off a cliff as they get chewed up at an alarming rate during their offensives and their MT-LBs have virtually run dry in storage. For some months now Russia has been sending their troops into combat on Chinese made ATVs and dirt bikes in an attempt to slow down their alarming volume of losses among convential military vehicles. They have a healthy supply of troops and are continuing to recruit 20,000-30,000 new ones per month. What they don't have are the weapons of war to carry those troops into battle with.

All of that to take 0.03% of Ukraine in 2024. They are moving a snail's pace and Ukraine's capabilities and funding are only growing. Despite some "local successes", Russia's war effort continues to be a failure. Their Kharkiv offensive this year, for example, was an unmitigated disaster.

While your point is correct that Russia is being depleted, truth is that they are being depleted at an increasingly slower rate. Their military industrial complex has really stepped up and they continue to output more tanks, IFV etc.
Additionally, the Russian fighting machine has become more lethal and dynamic. Guided FAB bombs, Lancets etc. are creating havoc and Ukraine is bleeding many troops.

Our real problem is something different. While Russia is being depleted, Ukraine is being depleted faster. Both in terms of equipment but most importantly manpower. Russia is fighting a war of attrition and they are clearly winning.

In early 2024, Ukraine would lose a village every few weeks. In Q2 it was a few villages per week. Now in Q3, Ukraine is losing a few villages every day. It doesn't take a genius to realize the trend here. Ukraine has simply run out of soldiers to fight this war. A plurality of Ukrainians wants peace negotiations. Thousands of Ukraine men are fleeing the country every week to avoid serving in the Ukrainian army.

We had the chance to end the war and allow Ukraine to win in 2022 and early 2023. The West was too scared to really help Ukraine back then. Any help now is just in vain and lead to more Ukrainians dead. Truly we are fighting Russia till the last Ukrainian, unfortunately.