Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

[Relic]

hmm economy.

Росстат оценил рост экономики в третьем квартале

Росстат объявил о замедлении темпов роста экономики в третьем квартале до 3,1% против 4,1% в предыдущем. Однако рост оказался лучше, чем оценивало Минэкономразвития (2,9%). За 9 месяцев, по данным МЭР, экономика выросла на 4,2%

www.rbc.ru

Rosstat estimates economic growth in the third quarter, by Elena Rozhkova for RBC. 11.13.2024.

Rosstat announced a slowdown in economic growth in the third quarter to 3.1% against 4.1% in the previous one. However, the growth was better than the Ministry of Economic Development estimated (2.9%). According to the Ministry of Economic Development, the economy grew by 4.2% in 9 months.

Economic growth in the third quarter of 2024 slowed to 3.1% year-on-year against 4.1% in the second quarter of 2024, according to a preliminary estimate by Rosstat published on Wednesday, November 13. "The index of physical volume of gross domestic product in the third quarter of 2024 relative to the same period in 2023, according to a preliminary estimate, was 103.1%," the agency said in a statement. The data was again provided without taking into account statistical information on the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics, as well as the Zaporizhia and Kherson regions.

The preliminary ("zero") assessment was made using the production method (the sum of the gross added value of all industries). Thus, in manufacturing, the added value grew by 6% in the third quarter of 2024 (compared to the same period of the previous year), in retail turnover - also by 6%. The first GDP estimate for the third quarter will be published on December 13.

In the second quarter of 2024, according to Rosstat , GDP growth was 4.1% year-on-year, which is lower than the first quarter figure of 5.4%.

Despite the slowdown, Rosstat’s preliminary estimate was higher than the Ministry of Economic Development’s estimate published at the end of October (plus 2.9% in the third quarter).



The Ministry of Economic Development, taking into account the data received from Rosstat, has clarified its estimate of economic growth for nine months: it amounted to 4.2% compared to the same period last year, the press service of the ministry reported. "The main driver was the manufacturing industry, where the machine-building complex made the greatest contribution. Thus, high indicators were demonstrated by the production of individual vehicles and equipment (including railcars, diesel locomotives, etc.), as well as the production of computers and electronics," the press service quotes Lev Denisov, director of the Department of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting of the Ministry of Economic Development. In his opinion, the high level of consumer activity is supported by the growth of incomes of the population.

Economists from the Institute of Economic Forecasting (INF) of the Russian Academy of Sciences previously pointed out the slowdown in the Russian economy . First of all, according to experts, it is caused by the ongoing tightening of monetary policy (the Bank of Russia raised the key rate to a record 21% on October 25) and a frontal increase in other costs: wages, transaction costs in foreign trade, tariffs for transportation and housing and communal services, and the introduction of additional fees.

Economists at the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMASF) predict the possibility of stagflation in Russia, that is, simultaneous stagnation (or decline) and high inflation. Due to the Central Bank's tight monetary policy, according to CMASF economists, the situation may develop according to the scenario of "shock with a decline in production" with a high potential for corporate bankruptcies and an increase in non-payments. To prevent the GDP dynamics from going into negative territory, "the Central Bank's key rate should be reduced to approximately 15-16% by mid-2025, CMASF economists point out. The Central Bank's current forecast assumes an average annual key rate during this period at 17-20%.

Nevertheless, based on the calculations based on the statistics available at the beginning of November, the INP RAS raised its forecast for GDP growth by the end of 2024: they expect the economy to grow by 3.9%, which coincides with the official forecast of the Ministry of Economic Development (a month earlier, the INP predicted annual GDP growth of 3.7%). The Bank of Russia's forecast assumes an increase in GDP this year by 3.5–4%.

On November 8, the Bank of Russia reported that the dynamics of industry financial flows it monitors indicate a gradual slowdown in economic activity at the beginning of the fourth quarter. In October, the volume of incoming payments made through the Bank of Russia payment system decreased by 2.9% compared to the average level of the third quarter of 2024, the Central Bank indicated.


heh makes you wonder why they dont want to spend any more for Ukraine. They must believe Ukraine's victory as much as i do.
How are these even considered far right organizations lol
View attachment 72042

Your own source is damning and you're doing exactly what I accused you of. You're headline clipping rather than doing any real research about the numbers.

Yes, Congress approved $175 Billion usd in multiple supplemental packages to respond to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. But Ukraine has not received $175 Billion usd worth of aid. They have received $106 Billion usd in aid as I already outlined, while the remaining $69 Billion was earmarked and subsequently used for 3 purposes.

1. To backfill American inventories with new weapons as replacements for those sent to Ukraine through Presidential Drawdown Authority,

2. To stimulate the American defense industrial base so that it could meet the demand of replacing weapons sent to Ukraine, increasing U.S. domestic supply and meeting significant international demand for weaponry since the outbreak of the war. I'll give you two examples of this. A). The United States physically built two additional factories geared towards the production of 155mm and 105mm artillery shells. B). The United States has sold billions of dollars worth of HIMARS, Abrams, Apaches, F-16s, missiles, rockets, etc to countries such as Romania , Turkey and Poland since the outset of the Russian invasion. In order to meet those demands, they helped sefense contractors expand their infrastructure.

3. Billions of additional dollars from those supplemental packages were spent on other U.S. Allies in the region, and to house an enhanced U.S. military presence in countries like Germany, Poland and the Baltic States.

If you're going to throw around numbers, try just 1% to be accurate with them. It goes a long way to being able to participate a conversation with people.

 

[Relic]

Today, U.S. Whitehouse Representative Sabrina Singh confirmed what had been first reported by Politico... The Biden Government will, in fact, surge the remaining PDA and USAI aid to Ukraine. She noted that they have approximately 70 days to make it happen and that U.S. military logistics will be put to the test to ensure Ukraine receives as much aid as possible before Trump takes over.

As a reminder, that includes a little more than $4 Billion usd worth of PDA and more than $2 Billion usd worth of USAI.

Expect to see both the size and rapidity of the packages announced to increase drastically in the coming weeks.

DOD Will Work Quickly to Meet President's 'Surge' Commitment to Ukraine Support

The surge includes plans to ensure all remaining congressionally authorized funding to support Ukraine be transferred to Ukraine before the administration closes out activities in January.

www.defense.gov

 

[Soldier30]

Footage of the evacuation of a Ukrainian M1A1 SA Abrams tank, American-made, by two Russian tanks, the model of the tanks is unknown. The M1A1 Abrams tank was previously used by the 47th separate mechanized brigade "Magura" of the Ukrainian army, under what conditions it was lost is unknown, presumably the tank ran over a mine. The weight of the M1A1 SA Abrams tank is about 61 tons, plus additional Soviet dynamic protection. Apparently, the tank could not be evacuated using an ARV, so two tanks were used.

 

[UkroTurk]

Trump has a "more sophisticated" position on Ukraine than is attributed to him - Scholz


20:44, 15.11.24


Scholz does not see a threat to Ukraine in the person of Trump



The German chancellor did not hear in a conversation with Trump his intention to betray the Ukrainians.



Donald Trump has a "more sophisticated position" regarding Ukraine than is attributed to him. This was stated by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in an interview with Süddeutsche Zeitung.

"I got the impression that he has a more sophisticated position than is often assumed," Scholz said, referring to his conversation with Trump after his election victory.

The German chancellor also does not believe that Trump can make a specific deal with Vladimir Putin on Ukraine that bypasses Kyiv’s interests.


Zelensky: Scholz's call to Putin is a Pandora's box



19:39, 15.11.24



Zelensky commented on the dialogue between Putin and Scholz

According to Zelensky, it is extremely important for Putin to ease the isolation of the Russian Federation and conduct negotiations that will not end in anything.


German Chancellor Olaf Scholz told President Volodymyr Zelensky that he was going to call Russian dictator Vladimir Putin.

Zelensky said this in an evening video address. "About one of today's news items. Chancellor Scholz told me that he was going to call Putin. Olaf's call, in my opinion, is a Pandora's box. Now there can be other conversations, other calls. Just a lot of words," he said.

According to Zelensky, this is exactly what Putin has long wanted: it is extremely important for him to ease the isolation of the Russian Federation and conduct negotiations that will not end in anything.




The Kremlin commented on Putin and Scholz talks

November 15, 2024, 17:52




Scholz and Putin spoke for the first time since December 2022


Vladimir Putin and Olaf Scholz held a "detailed and frank exchange of views" on the situation in Ukraine.





Moscow confirmed that Russian leader Vladimir Putin had a telephone conversation with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. Its main topic was the war in Ukraine, the Kremlin press service reported on Friday, November 15.



It was indicated that a "detailed and frank exchange of views on the situation in Ukraine" was held. At the same time, Putin traditionally blamed NATO for everything, which allegedly created an anti-Russian bridgehead in Ukraine and ignored Russia's interests in the security sphere.



According to him, Russia is ready for negotiations, and its demands have long been known.



"Possible agreements must take into account the interests of the Russian Federation in the security sphere, proceed from new territorial realities, and most importantly, eliminate the root causes of the conflict," Putin said.



The Russian dictator also complained about the "unprecedented degradation in all areas" of relations between Russia and Germany and accused Berlin of "an unfriendly course."



"It was agreed that following the conversation, the leaders' aides will be in touch," the Kremlin added.

 

[blackjack]

interesting statistics.



The video recorded lancet strikes for half this month is very low but at the same time they are already making new records in seizing more land.

@Relic is there a specific time or date that Ukraine is planned to get more howitzers, tanks, MLRS systems or not yet?

 

[UkroTurk]

Zelensky made a statement on the end of the war

Text: Konstantin Katyshev, November 16, 2024, 13:01

Зеленский сделал заявление по окончанию войны

Украина должна иметь сильную позицию на потенциальных переговорах с Россией и не быть наедине со страной-агрессором, отметил президент.

korrespondent.net

President Volodymyr Zelensky:

Ukraine must have a strong position in potential negotiations with Russia and not be alone with the aggressor country, the president noted.

Ukraine must do everything to end the war through diplomatic means in 2025. President Volodymyr Zelensky said this in an interview with Ukrainian Radio, published on Saturday, November 16.



"For our part, we must do everything to ensure that this war ends next year. Ends through diplomatic means. And I think this is very important," he said.

At the same time, the head of state emphasized that Ukraine should have a strong position in potential negotiations with Russia and not be alone with the aggressor country.

"What kind of negotiations can there be with a murderer? If we talk directly with Putin, just with a murderer, we are in the conditions in which we are now, not strengthened by some important elements, then this is a losing status of negotiations for Ukraine at the entrance," he said and added that "in a weak situation there is nothing to do in these negotiations."

Zelensky emphasized that the position of newly elected US President Donald Trump towards Ukraine is important and emphasized that the United States is currently on Ukraine's side.

In his opinion, the United States should maintain a position of support that Ukraine is a victim, and Russia is an aggressor and violator of international law. This should be one of the starting points for negotiations on any platform.

Recall that Volodymyr Zelensky believes that the war will end sooner under the administration of new elected US President Donald Trump.



Under Trump, the war will end faster - Zelensky

Text: Konstantin Katyshev, November 15, 2024, 6:25 p.m.

При Трампі війна завершиться швидше - Зеленський

В української сторони була можливість аргументовано викласти свою позицію щодо бачення миру, зазначив президент.

ua.korrespondent.net

The Ukrainian side had an opportunity to state its position on the vision of peace in a reasoned manner, the president noted.

Russia's war against Ukraine may end sooner under the administration of US President-elect Donald Trump. The President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyi, said this in an interview with Suspilnyi, published on Friday, November 15.



According to him, a constructive interaction has developed between him and Trump. The Ukrainian side had the opportunity to state its position on the vision of peace in a reasoned manner.

"He (Trump - ed.) has heard the basis on which we stand. I have not heard anything against our position," he said.

And when asked whether Trump demanded that Ukraine participate in negotiations with Russia, the president answered: "We are an independent country. And we, during this war, are our people, and I personally am in negotiations with the United States, and with Trump, and with Biden, and with European leaders - proved that the rhetoric of "Sit and listen" does not work with us."

According to Zelensky's expectations, under the Trump administration, "the war will end faster."

"It is very important for us to have a just peace, so that we do not feel that we have lost our best because of the injustice that has been imposed on you. The war will end, but there is no exact date. Certainly, with the policies of this team that will now lead the White House, the war will end sooner This is their approach, their promise to their society, and it is also very important for them," the Ukrainian leader summed up.