RF intends to seize two-thirds of Ukraine - Bild
December 4, 2021
The German newspaper published intelligence data, according to which the invasion of the Russian military will take place in three stages. It is noted that the corresponding plans are in Putin's desk drawer.
The invasion of Ukraine by Russian troops is planned in three stages. This was reported on Saturday, December 4, by the German edition Bild, citing a NATO source familiar with Western intelligence data.
It is noted that the attack is planned in three stages in early 2022 with the aim of capturing up to two-thirds of the territory of Ukraine, including Kiev.
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Phase 1: South
In the first phase, southern Ukraine will be captured, "to secure supplies to Crimea and also to cut off Ukraine from the sea and therefore from supplies," a security officer told BILD.
Russia plans to use the landing ships, which were airlifted from the Baltic Sea to the region in the spring, "to transport tanks and troops from Crimea to the outskirts of Odessa," said a senior Western intelligence officer.
Another high-ranking military man was even more specific. According to him, Russian plans provide for a landing operation "east of Odessa, between the cities of Fontanka and Koblevo." Russian troops "will advance northeast of the city, then turn left and advance into Transnistria." This attack would have surrounded Odessa.
At the same time, in the Kherson region along the Dnieper River, "special forces airborne operations" will be carried out, which will block bridges across the country's most important river and thus cut off supplies. "From the beginning, there will be only artillery fire on strong Ukrainian positions. Then the Ukrainian troops will be tied up here and will not be able to recapture the bridges behind them."
Likewise, Russian armored units, again with the support of the navy and aviation, will advance westward from the occupied Donbass in eastern Ukraine, then split and advance, on the one hand, into Zaporozhye (the most important military center in southern Ukraine) and further on the other side they will move towards the Crimea.
If this succeeds, the whole of southern Ukraine will be under Russian control, and Putin will build a corridor from Russia to the NATO border with Romania.
Phase 2: Northeast
In parallel with the first phase of the war, Putin's aviation and ballistic missiles will weaken Ukraine's military capabilities across the country.
If the Kremlin considers that the conditions for this have been met, Russian armored units can cross the border in the Luhansk and Kharkiv regions and advance to the large cities of Dnipro and Poltava.
“First of all, they will surround cities and cut off electricity, gas and food supplies. In a few weeks, the Russians can glorify themselves as saviors of civilians, invade capitulating cities and save the Ukrainian population from starvation or death,” one of the officers explains.
Phase 3: Kiev
At the third stage, the Kremlin army will attack Kiev from the north. "Of course, this can happen at the start of a war, if circumstances warrant," a source told BILD.
NATO strategists are not sure whether the Lukashenka regime will participate in the hostilities from Belarus. Although the dictator recently announced this, it has not yet been decided.
If Belarus is ready to be the starting point for Russian or even Belarusian attacks, it will be Russia's plan to encircle and siege Kiev from the northeast and northwest with pincers.
Subsequently, Russian troops will advance "approximately to the Korosten-Uman line in order to cut off supplies from Western Ukraine. Then one could expect the surrender of Kiev, and hence Ukraine, under pressure from the West."
As a result of such a scenario, about which the Kremlin appears to have plans that are now known to Western intelligence services, Russia will occupy about two-thirds of Ukraine's current territory. Another insider said: "If Russia invades, there will still be sanctions. Then there is no point in stopping halfway."
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