Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

[Al Dakhil]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498959367906807808

 

[Bogeyman]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498962907647954949

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498958686441594882

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498964609138630660

 

[SaR]

Just like in the 2020 Azerbaijan-Armenia war... If these start flying, anti-radiation missiles will be launched, followed by a large air campaign. Let's see if they start using them today.

I think likely common PGM munitions would be used trying to neutralize rather than dedicated missile I think. Sensor limitations can be an issue effectively tracking AD locations. Given undeveloped SEAD/DEAD capability of Russians. Engagement tactics could be rudimentary.

AN-2 intel is from NATO. Likely would coordinate Ukrainians accordingly to minimize threat. Best wish is that these decoy modification will be pretty basic. Either Turkey or Israel modified AN-2s. I think they had decent modified commercial subsystems and software interface.

 

[TheInsider]

Russian companies are evading sanctions via Armenia. West can't sanction Armenia due to the Armenian diaspora. It seems like sanctions will fail.

 

[SaR]

Russian companies are evading sanctions via Armenia. West can't sanction Armenia due to the Armenian diaspora. It seems like sanctions will fail.

We need to ban commerical flights to Armenia. Otherwise, Turkey is going to be hub for evading sanctions.

 

[TheInsider]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498812854383882240

It is said that the supply of Russian troops prepared for the siege of Kiev has been completed. Therefore, this scenario may not hold up that well.

We will see it depends on the willpower of resistance.

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498967536779632643

 

[Joe Shearer]

run out of assets, unlikely, run out of logistics, yes, it could be
we've haven't seen them showing their full force yet
plus, considering all the asset that they have, by now they are not savage enough when they doing their action

A much more pointed way of putting it - yes, of course, you are right, they will lose their capability to supply/re-supply troops in the field due to increasingly stretched logistics.
Your last line was not understood.

 

[tomthebotfly]

Russia could be moving towards a "shell every city to the ground" position, a bit like Grozny in the 90s, but that would take a ton of ammunition and since that ammunition would be first travelling through Ukraine itself to reach the artillery guns perhaps we could see more logistical disasters for the Russians. Just a thought.

 

[Yasar_TR]

Türkiye’den Ukrayna’ya Yeni Bayraktar TB2 SİHA Teslimatı

Türkiye, Ukrayna Ordusu’na yönelik olarak yeni parti Bayraktar TB2 Silahlı İnsansız Hava Aracı (SİHA) teslimatı gerçekleştirdi.

www.savunmasanayist.com

New TB2 deliveries to Ukraine!!

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498980848615530498

 

[SaR]

Being proactive and earning capabilities to Georgia is a must while Russia is busy.

Quick capability boost is, TB2 + Guided Artillery. SPAAG with FCS and 4th generation MANPADs.

 

[Mis_TR_Like]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498975457013862402

 

[Saithan]

This is an armchair based reply: please discount suitably.

The backbone of any conscript system is the NCO. New recruits come on board, and are licked into shape over anywhere between one month and three. The conscript service in Russia is currently 12 months.

The missing element is the contract soldier, neither full flag-service of 18 years, nor 12-month conscript, but something in between. These are the ones causing problems.

A short look at Wikipedia, obviously not the most reliable guide to anything at all under the Sun, shows two ominous features - at least HALF-A-DOZEN reform attempts since the fall of the Soviet Union, and repeated confusion over the war-fighting structures and processes of the new Russian Army, or Russian Ground Forces.

Special Forces are different from the regular 'grunts'.

IF there is any interest, I can summarise in an hour or two the situation currently prevailing, just before the invasion. It is impossible to see them gaining in any possible way whatever number they put in the field. This was not assessed earlier, but is apparent on a more detailed reading.

In shor Ukrain could possible archieve greater victory by offering hot meal a mug of booze in return for the condcripts dropping their arms along with guarentee of being sent home unharmed.

 

[TheInsider]

Russia will declare the UK as an enemy state.

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498984538319597573

 

[Ecderha]

Please Watch it to the END

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498777885171240964

 

[Joe Shearer]

In shor Ukrain could possible archieve greater victory by offering hot meal a mug of booze in return for the condcripts dropping their arms along with guarentee of being sent home unharmed.

It sounds funny, but is very close to the truth.

Most Russian post-soviet military reform was strongly called for by the mothers of dead soldiers. There is a deep suspicion among Russians about the capabilities of their generals, and their fitness for command.

 

[Isa Khan]

Could be propaganda.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498990329630007297

 

[Isa Khan]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1498990589794258944