This is not a good sign tbh
That's a reasonable take by Milley. Russia has north of 300,000 military personnel in the occupied regions of Ukraine, The West would have to be training 3-4x more Ukrainian personnel and commit to doing so for multiple years, in order for Ukraine to produce the necessary manpower to simply push the Russians out using brute force. Now, let's say the collective West made the collective decision that they were going use $500-$700 Billion USD over the next 12 months to help ensure a Ukrainian victory, that might be a different story. But I'm talking these kinds of commitments of modern'ish equipment...
Core Equipment
48x F-16s multirole jets
48x Dassault Rafales multirole jets
30-40x Mi-24 Attack helicopters +ammuntion
500x Abrams M1A2 MBTs + ammunition
250x Leopard 2A4/5/6 MBTs + ammunition
250x T-72s / PT-91 Twardy MBTs + ammunition
500x Bradley M2 ODS IFVs + ammunition
100x Marder IFVs + ammunition
100x Warrior IFVs + ammunition
100x CV90 IFVs + ammunition
100x LAV 6.0 IFVs + ammunition
100x AMX-10P IFVs + ammunition
200x Stryker APCs +ammunition
200x BMC Kirpi APCs
100x Bushmaster APCs
100x KTO Rosomak APCs + ammunitions
200x Cougar MRAPS
500x Maxxpro International MRAPS
54x M109, 155mm self-propelled Howitzers
54x CAESAR, 155mm self-propelled Howitzers
54x Panzerhaubitze 2000, 155mm self-propelled Howitzers
54x Krab, 155mm self-propelled Howitzers
36x AS-90, 155mm self-propelled Howitzers
18x Archer, 155mm self-propelled Howitzers
18x HIMARS
Key Additional Equipment
- 250,000x rifles
- 2,000,000x rounds of 155mm artillery shells
- 50,000,000x rounds of assorted small ammunition
- 1000x HARM anti-radiation missiles
- 2000x JDAM kits for 500lb, 1000lb and 2000lb bombs
- 500x assorted cruise missiles
- 5000x GPS guided Excalibur and SMART, 155mm artillery shells
- 1000x GLSDB long range guided bombs
- 5000x Javelin anti-armor systems
- 5000x NLAW anti-armor systems
- 5000x AT4 anti-armor systems
- 5000x LAW anti-armor systems
- 1000x Switchblade 600 drones
- 1000x Warmate anti-armor drones
- 1000x Drones for dropping grenades
- 1000x Drones for surveillance and correcting artillery fire
- 1000x AMRAAM Missiles
- 50,000x 60mm, 81mm and 120mm mortar rounds
- 5000x TOW anti-armor missiles
That's just a sampling of the type and volume of equipment that Ukraine would need to fight a multi-pronged offensive that would stretch Russia to the max and force them into a substantial chance of being overrun if they refused to retreat. I just don't see the will power from the West / NATO to make it happen at this point. We're happy to help Ukraine not lose, and ruin Russia financially in the process, but we'd have to gear up to war time type production and spending if we wanted to help the Ukrainians push the Russians out using blunt force. I don't see the political will power to make that happen.