Per Center for Strategic and International Studies:This all relies on the fact it was Iran which performed the attack.
However, the attack was performed as an super precision guided attack on some empty tanks with no consequences what so ever. No critical infrastructure were attacked. Some of the pictures indicated rediculas centimeter accuracy. All this by a country which have their own refineries.
The refinery was up and running within days of the attack.
The whole thing was suspective as hell.
This weekend’s attack on Saudi oil facilities in Khurais and Abqaiq represents the single largest daily oil supply disruption in history—larger than the maximum daily output loss resulting from the Iranian Revolution, the invasion of Iraq, the Venezuelan oil strike of 2002-2003, or any of the Gulf coast hurricanes and almost twice as large as the combined outages produced by U.S. sanctions on Venezuela and Iran. The attacks targeted two critical Saudi facilities: one of the nation’s largest producing fields, Khurais, and the crown jewel of the Saudi oil system, the massive stabilization and processing facility at Abqaiq. The total supply loss from taking these facilities offline amounted to some 5.7 million barrels per day (b/d) in oil output—more than half of Saudi Arabia’s recent output and about 6 percent of global supply—as well as 2 billion cubic feet per day of associated gas.
About the fact that whether if this was Iranians or Houthis, there's zero doubt about its Iranian origin as IRGC-affiliated telegram channels posted hints about the facilities and the fact that they maybe in danger weeks before the attack and they duly celebrated just minutes after the attack; but these are Farsi "unofficial channels" so they are not cited as sources. It was so obvious that the Houthis didn't do it that even U.N. investigators concluded that the attacks came from the north not the south.
Guardian reported:
There were many reports like this at the time showing Saudi frustration at a lack of U.S. response. MBS explicitly mentioned monarchy's expectations from U.S. in a live interview that I was watching, but I can't find a video of it.Saudi Arabia has ramped up the pressure on Donald Trump to respond to a devastating strike on two major oil installations, displaying drone and missile technology it insisted showed the attack was “unquestionably sponsored by Iran”.
At a press conference in Riyadh a Saudi defence spokesman claimed that 25 drones and cruise missiles were used in the attack on the Aramco facilities on Saturday, saying repeatedly they had been fired from the north, the direction of Iran.
Asked for his response, Trump said “We know very much what happened” but argued that it was “a sign of strength” that he has thus far taken no military action against Iran.
“How did going into Iraq work out?” Trump asked, then added: “There’s plenty of time to do some dastardly things. It’s very easy to start. And we’ll see what happens.”