With the quickly emerging of the J-31/35 and a possible export of it to Pakistan post 2028
I suppose if the IMF provides a number of additional loans to the current bailout. But it would be off topic to get into where the likelihood of that all is given deep entrenched crucial numbers that have stagnated in Pakistan for the last 10, 20 years or even longer....and why they are unlikely to change and reform these deep down to develop actual forex and market cap muster that pays the bills.
China is staying away from all of that basic wherewithal for a reason, in fact they have made it worse. There is a reason the IMF is approached for this liquidity (for the metastasized revenue deficit), hat in hand.... no one else.
The earlier forms of the revenue deficit problem meant continued staring at ballistic missile tech given by the Chinese (and then outsourced to the North Koreans)....with total inability to convert them into even a basic tier 1 space launcher (given the quality and process control needed here). Something that hasn't held back Iran for example.
According to Indian sources
AMCA first flight end of 2028
Production start of serial production aircraft 2034
This is taking into account no delays btw. Which we know in India is a given due to certain problems in their industry I won't touch upon here.
By 2034 TAI will have delivered 6*24=144 Aircraft to the Turkish Air Force. Even if we take possible and likely delays into account TAI will most likely deliver around 70-100 Kaan to the Turkish Air Force by that time and most likely even have delivered first Aircrafts to select "partners". That is also if the rate of production stays at 2 aircraft per month. Good possibility it will ramp up if large export orders come in from certain gulf countries, Azerbaijan and Pakistan which could finance the expanding of production lines over the years.
India is still facing delays on Tejas MK1A as well as TEDBF which I believe was supposed to roll out last year? Yet is nowhere to be seen yet. And there is Tejas MK2 btw though I don't know the current situation on that project. Possible I switched up MK2 and TEDBF. Nevertheless.
Just like the Turks shouldn't be underestimated, India shouldn't be either.
A lot of things are coming together now compared to before.
This means progression from the nuclear, missiles and space domain successes (among others) to more sectors including aviation....both defence and civilian.
I actually have spreadsheet of the equity trajectories in this sector. It is imperative that India gets its 4.5 trillion USD market cap doubled as soon as possible this decade given what this means in wherewithal regarding further capital and human resource arrangement.
While with a population 1/6th ours, a 3 billion IMF bailout is of intense crucial nature to Pakistan for a full year and it now seeks another 6 billion from the IMF (with China again saying a firm no) with more hats in hand......for India we simply must get the monthly FDI+FPI inflow (hard foreign investment) well past 12 billion a month ASAP....and then well into the double digit range past that.
These will all have impact on strategic projects like AMCA long term. Such things can only grow if you are big enough, not reliant on bailouts.