I mean the lack of ammunition NATO can supply with equipment is enough to tell you that if Ukraine gets taken over the western countries will be taken over fast as well.
This is dumb. They're running out of ammo to *spare to give to Ukraine*, not running out of ammo they've allocated for themselves.
In any case, if war breaks out they'll make more ammo. That's how this goes, same as Russia's kicked into high gear with industry.
"If Ukraine loses, NATO's eastern countries get overrun" doesn't add up, like at all. For one, Poland's like second-tier most badass country in NATO, they probably couldn't beat Russia *alone* but they'd sure fuck them up more than Ukraine ever has, and they have plenty of men & material to throw into it. You chuck in Sweden & Finland in there with some regional war, Russia's not going to have a good day. They know this, which is why it'll end with Ukraine and maybe Moldova. Simply because, put crudely, we don't *actually* give a fuck about Ukraine or Moldova in the west, much as we posture as if we do. That's not the line, Poland is, Finland is.
How many US/UK soldiers you think have seen conflict? and if they have seen conflict what percentage have been in anything similar to the Ukraine war? So if western equipment hasn't dont jack shit
The first part is half true, but only half. Yes, while American & British (and Dutch and Australian and German and yadda yadda to a lesser degree) have been at war in one form or another for the past 20 years, it hasn't been a peer-against-peer type of war, that's fair. Ukrainians *are* currently more hardened in that regard.
What you're missing is, that doesn't necessarily count for a whole lot, as troops & countries learn quickly (as if to say the US & UK aren't prepared for anything Russia could ever throw at them - they totally are). Troops learn, they adapt, they get better under the circumstances they find themselves in. WWI, the Americans came in green as fuck, not knowing a thing, had to be shown the ropes by the Brits & French & Australians. Thing is, like 8-10 weeks later they were fucking up Germans left right & centre with superior numbers & gear and a lack of fatigue. That applies to war in general, we're seeing it right now: Russia fucking sucked in the opening year of this war - they've turned that around and are now pretty much man-for-man equal with the Ukrainians. This stuff is fluid.
As for "the western equipment hasn't done jackshit" part? Okay, cool, guess we'll just stop sending it. Ukes, you've apparently got this, don't need our toys anymore. Godspeed, you're on your own.
Yeah, you don't believe that. Any vehicle is vulnerable at a point, there was never any guarantee Abrams & Bradleys were going to turn the war in the Ukrainian's favor (I'd even go as far as saying no one in the west actually believed it *would*). They were still a hell of a lot better off having them than not, because their own stuff is...Ukrainian.