after Armenia using several ballistic missiles on Azerbaijan cities that has no military nearby but just because it is the second most populated city(Ganja) and the water electric station that if got heated, 26 cities will be under water(Mingechevir,also 4th biggest city and hold the electricity that gives more than 50% of all Azerbaijan), seems Azerbaijan takes it serious as there might be another war in Karabakh and Azerbaijan could also use Turkish satellites against them and at the same time purchase Turkish air defense missiles if its allowed to sell. Iran understand that once there is way to Nakhchivan from Azerbaijan given by Armenia, it will be encircled by all Turkish friendly countries.. so they also work with Russia these days. even today as soon as Erdogan mentioned that he talked with Aliyev, Iranian foreign minister called to Russia. I think Russians would never make that mistake, because there is no local people who wants to die for that, same would be for Russia, as local Russian people totally against any war in Caucasus..
my only estimation, Azerbaijan and Turkey could start some operation with excuses again which will live short but might push Russia to stop playing games.. it also work for Russia, as any new operation would be resulted with end of current Armenian president, or could diminish his reputation.. i think Azerbaijan also work so they might ask for more land to do it