FCAS will die. Germany and Spain will leave the program, and France will continue FCAS alone. Germany wants %50-50 partnership while France wants Germany to be a sidekick. I won't be surprised if Spain gets Kaan after Hurjet. GCAP will also see major delays. The US will offer Japan F-55 and F-47.
They don't even want to share the work.
"At the airshow, Dassault CEO Eric Trappier said Dassault and France should be leading the project. In a Bloomberg interview, he suggested an arrangement focused on sharing work among partners would lead to a technologically inferior solution."
FCAS Tensions Flare At Paris Air Show | Aviation Week Network
Tensions over the potential workshare within the Franco-German-Spanish FCAS program resurfaced on the second day of the Paris Air Show.
