Confirmation from Arm that Az is moving towards Lacin
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Trying to find out more atm. Perhaps it’s a øn election stunt to gsther votes from Armenians.
The US is preoccupied with China in the South China Sea, I don't think they'll do much militarily for Armenia against Azerbaijan. Maybe some sanctions, but it's not like they're going to send a Carrier strike group to the Black sea to try reverse the situation.Seems US has sent a warning to Baku. Something is going on.
Speaking of it i was checking out the sat pictures a couple days ago and the destruction in the conflict cities of SE Turkey arent insignificant at all, the clashes were not any less than what we have seen in Syria you can see that even from space.Compare Al Bab and cities in eastern Turkey after the Turkish army was involved in heavy urban warfare there. This isn't a matter of "the Turks vs the others",but a matter of how much resistance the enemy is willing to give. It's easy to capture a city intact when your adversary barely puts a fight. The contrary is another story though.
I was aware of this road to Vardenis. It wasn't include it in my earlier post because early in the conflict there was reports that this road had been intersected by the Azeris. Perhaps it did happen and the area where it occurred is still being contested. Nevertheless, I think this road is of a lot lesser importance because it is very vulnerable being at places around 10km from the border. So it can be hit quite easily and frequently.
Also your map shows this Mrav mountain being under Azeri control, so it makes the road even more difficult to defend from attack for the Armenians.
It's one of the reasons why the yellow colored areas are defined as Armenian "corridor" in the Madrid Principles which were never implemented by both sides.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madrid_Principles
But the road coming from Vardenis has some advantages as well as disadvantages.
This is the actual rout:
It has been expanded after many years of reconstruction and today large parts can be considered as reaching international highway standards. But the Vardenis-Martakart expressway is much more prone to attacks from AZ. Using this motorway in its full length would turn it into an Armenian version of the Iraqi Highway of Death.
There is another drawback, though. All the roads that are connected to this highway are in very bad shape. For instance, the roads below are described as "highways" in the Karvachar region:
During winter time, many of these roads are covered completely in ice and snow. You can only use them with tracked vehicles. This is why everyone is talking about Lacin. It's far, far more important than the Vardenis connection.
Unfortunately, this information is still not verified and I don't believe it's true at this point of the war.Vardenis connection has already been closed as our forces captured Moruv positions in the first day of the conflict, and drones are already conducting strikes in Kelbajar region.
Armenian is legit Russia Ally, die hard Russia defender. If other US Ally can be sanctioned over mere bought Russian hardware, how can they give an Ally of Russia a support for fighting against Israel and Turkey allies (legit Ally of US in the region), that's should be question to ponder?The US is preoccupied with China in the South China Sea, I don't think they'll do much militarily for Armenia against Azerbaijan. Maybe some sanctions, but it's not like they're going to send a Carrier strike group to the Black sea to try reverse the situation.
You forgot the quite powerful Armenian diaspora community in the US. And now it's election year.Armenian is legit Russia Ally, die hard Russia defender. If other US Ally can be sanctioned over mere bought Russian hardware, how can they give an Ally of Russia a support for fighting against Israel and Turkey allies (legit Ally of US in the region), that's should be question to ponder?
No seriously, why haven't we seen any SU-30s in action? The SM variant have a quite powerful Phased array radar and long range AAM. We haven't seen the Armenians even trying to utilize those capabilities.
The Armenians, at least till now, shows their willingness to throw everything they had to the battlefield no matter how futile. What makes the Flankers so special is a question that need to be answered. I'm sure that they've used their SU-25s stationed in Armenia around Karabakh proper before.many reasons
1. they are stationed in Armenia, thus Armenia wouldn't be able to attack Azerbaijan directly, and even if they did, Azerbaijan will just wipe out the airbase.
2. Azerbaijan has the most advanced air defense network in the region, 4th gen planes have no chance of entering it.
3. Although Russian planes are called multi-role, their true multi-role capabilities are pretty limited, Su-30SM has very little munition to use against ground targets. Russian fighters are not like Western fighters, they don't have targeting pods or wide variety of laser guided munitions to use against ground elements.
I mean in Air to Air role. You know hunting drones.3. Although Russian planes are called multi-role, their true multi-role capabilities are pretty limited, Su-30SM has very little munition to use against ground targets. Russian fighters are not like Western fighters, they don't have targeting pods or wide variety of laser guided munitions to use against ground elements.
I mean in Air to Air role. You know hunting drones.