Kicking the can until the end.I don't know why they like manipulating.
Kicking the can until the end.I don't know why they like manipulating.
Are they preparing to take a loan from the IMF?The treasure and finance minister invited a delegation from the IMF. IMF experts will conduct studies and prepare a report by the year's end.
I think they sold dollars to cover the expenses for KKM for the upcoming monthThe Central Bank (CBRT) sold 10 billion dollars through the back door in 27 days.
“We have moved to a transparent, rule-based and rational monetary policy.” They say and look into the eyes of the nation and defend the wall of 27 TL.
In the middle of the night, someone is diving in the name of certain people and collecting cheap dollars.
Tourism season is over, September has arrived.
Now where will they find it and sell it?
Türkiye's trade deficit widened 14.2% year-over-year to $12.2 billion (TL 324.84 billion) in July, according to official data released Tuesday.
Turkish exports increased 8.3% from a year earlier to $20.1 billion in July, while imports soared 10.5% to $32.3 billion, the data from the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) showed.
Excluding energy products and non-monetary gold, Türkiye last month posted a foreign trade gap of $6 billion.
The exports-to-imports coverage ratio fell to 62.2% this July compared to 63.4% in July 2022.
Türkiye's outbound shipments to its main trading partner Germany totaled $1.67 billion in July, followed by Italy and the United States, both with $1.1 billion, Iraq with $978 million and the United Kingdom with $962 million.
China was the main source of Türkiye's imports in July with $4.6 billion, followed by Russia ($3.65 billion), Germany ($2.84 billion), Switzerland ($2.46 billion) and the U.S. ($1.60 billion).
That s the main problem.
What are we importing from China ?
Main Import Items to Türkiye: Phones for cellular/other wireless networks, automatic data processing machines and units, tools for receiving, translating and exporting audio-video and other information, compressor, converter
As of 2021, China has managed to become the top destination for Turkish imports (US$2.412 billion), followed by Russia (US$2.173 billion), Germany (US$2.129 billion), the US (US$1.99 billion), and Italy (US$93 million).
In 2020, Chinese exports to Türkiye amounted to US$22.1 billion, divided into three main categories of products: broadcasting equipment (US$1.98 billion), computers (US$1.24 billion), and non-retail synthetic filament yarn (US$459 million).
On the other hand, Turkish exports to China were worth US$2.93 billion, with marble, travertine, and alabaster being the top traded products (US$540 million), followed by precious metal ore (US$175 million) and refined copper (US$162 million).
We have to half the import from China.If you go to supermarket,lots of plastic items are from China.
By now,Chinese GDP PER capita and Income is higher than us,why we have to import every things from China?
Thank you.A) China likely has inflated its official GDP lot more than Turkey (and world generally) does. You will see what this means this decade and next.
B) China is an immense country, so an average "per capita" means populations several times the size of Turkey that are below Turkish income level....sometimes well below. This means labour cost advantage in lot of industries especially with the forex stockpile subsidy China largely deliberately accumulated on top for this reason.
C) Its not really about how much you import from China as long as Turkiye exports sufficiently to whole world to cover (especially its inelastic) imports in total. Then develop larger surpluses from that with time (letting your businesses keep growing, competing, learning and adapting as they can to world environments broadly).
If Turkiye invested fairly as it should have in last 10 years into factories + core input industry relative to where its labour force was (back then) and is (today) instead of using real estate as default big sponge for this (which does not provide a hard production return past what it can do w.r.t tourism to some degree)...it would have higher degree of comparative advantage to harness with its main markets and new markets.
The problem with tourism as large revenue to go all in is its seasonality and vulernability (as found out in Covid era especially). Thats why supply chain factories have to be the base of pyramid, not real estate (this is an extra you do as is reasonable).
But it didn't do this prioritisation and carries deadweight, crediblity and confidence problem now (maybe slowly being worked out).
A boxer in middleweight category that can punch pretty well but didnt train footwork dynamically....he still has to buy and intake (inelastic) calories, and scrapes by lower winnings because of it. He can only tighten belt so much...the answer lay in training regimen he did so far that was not comprehensive, so many things are squandered now with what he stuck with as result.
China is a big problem.
Main Import Items to Türkiye: Phones for cellular/other wireless networks, automatic data processing machines and units, tools for receiving, translating and exporting audio-video and other information, compressor, converter
As of 2021, China has managed to become the top destination for Turkish imports (US$2.412 billion), followed by Russia (US$2.173 billion), Germany (US$2.129 billion), the US (US$1.99 billion), and Italy (US$93 million).
In 2020, Chinese exports to Türkiye amounted to US$22.1 billion, divided into three main categories of products: broadcasting equipment (US$1.98 billion), computers (US$1.24 billion), and non-retail synthetic filament yarn (US$459 million).
On the other hand, Turkish exports to China were worth US$2.93 billion, with marble, travertine, and alabaster being the top traded products (US$540 million), followed by precious metal ore (US$175 million) and refined copper (US$162 million).
We have to half the import from China.If you go to supermarket,lots of plastic items are from China.
By now,Chinese GDP PER capita and Income is higher than us,why we have to import every things from China?
Yes that's a country can't even product a good quality pistol.China is a big problem.
A politician agreeing with and sharing someones post criticizing them and their policies? What country is this?Iam really loving Mehmet Simsek transparency about Turkey's situation. He is a good minister that is for sure
He is level-headed and knows what he is doing
If Erdogan doesnt interfere, Simsek will be the one saving Erdo's ass in the future
Erdogan prepared a good economic team after the last presidential elections
@UkroTurk , it seems that the recent sale of FX reserves was apparently as mentioned due to the accumulated KKM accounts
Translation:
The claim that the Central Bank intervened in the exchange rate by selling reserves by considering the level target does not reflect the truth.
@ali_hakan_kara 's messages were a good explanation of the situation.
As the Treasury and the Central Bank, we continue to work intensively to develop and make attractive capital markets and TL instruments.
We will overcome all problems in time.
He is criticising his predecessor's policies and agreeing that some things could have been prevented if he acted fasterA politician agreeing with and sharing someones post criticizing them and their policies? What country is this?