TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

[Lool]

Alright the whole “peace troops” framing is outdated. What’s being built now is basically a Turkish‑led Syrian security zone, not some UN‑style buffer. Ankara has more than 20,000 troops and security personnel in northern Syria under formal defence cooperation, plus influence over the new Syrian army structure and doctrine. That’s not symbolic—that’s hard power on the ground.

For Israel, the message is simple: any strike on that belt is no longer “just Syria”, it’s hitting a Turkish‑integrated security zone with Turkish assets, Turkish drones, Turkish radar, and Turkish logistics behind it. That alone makes casual raids much more politically and militarily expensive.

Is it enough to stop a full‑scale Israeli or US attack by itself? No. Ground troops alone don’t stop air campaigns. What locks this in long‑term is:

A fully layered air and missile defence over northern Syria (Hisar/O, Siper, integrated radar, EW, hardened bases).

Persistent ISR and drones (Bayraktar, Akinci, Anka) tied into Syrian command so any movement is tracked in real time.

Joint command and legal frameworks that make it crystal clear any strike on “Syrian” assets in that belt is a strike on Turkish‑protected infrastructure.

Gradual removal of Iranian militias and parallel networks in Syria and Lebanon, so there’s one coherent security architecture instead of a messy proxy playground.


Lebanon and Iraq are the long game. Lebanon only works if Iranian influence is rolled back and the Lebanese army is actually equipped and backed in a serious way. Iraq is a full tangle of Kurds/US/Iran/Israel, so there I’d say: secure the Turkish–Syrian belt first, lock in air defence and command integration, then expand east once the political ground is ready.

I think that the turkish government doesnt think about northern Syria only anymore
What the Israelis are crying about is the turkish armed forces slowly crawling their way towards central/southern Syria by first installing AD systems and then gradually bring troops forward; the aim of the turkish government is clear and that is Palmyra air base.

When Turkey tried to send its troops to Palmyra air base back in December following the fall of Assad, Israeli fighter jets razed the base to the ground to send a message to Turkey. Now Turkey seems to take its precautions before expanding to avoid loss of troops. This disturbs Israel since Turkey holding Palmyra Air base will provide a strategic AD umbrella over sensitive Syrian logistics and bases in around 50% of the country and this will translate to a stronger Syria and possibly a tougher fight for when Syria fights for the Golan heights sooner or later

Aside frome the inevitable Israeli/Syrian war over the Golan, I wanna also point out that the proposed new trade and oil route connecting Turkey with Saudi Arabia runs close to Palmyra air base; thus, not only will Israel face a tougher Syria but also will have the final nail on the coffin for Israeli ambitions to become an energy trade hub by ensuring all Med East oil flows through its borders

In other words, whoever gets Palmyra Air base gains majority of Syria and dictates the rules of the game within the Sham region

 

[Lool]

Wasnt it Emiratis alongside Egyptians?

Really? I thought that it was UAE Mirage fighter jets accompanied by French Rafale jets that killed Turkish troops; ofcourse with Russian blessings

As far as my info goes, Egypt doesnt have the green light to use the Rafale jets outside the Egyptian border. Moreover, the fighter jets deployed throughout Libya at that time were Emiratis and Russian