An interesting article about Turkish-Russian relations was published on the Armenian website. It's not in the English version, so I decided to translate it.
Russia takes into account the political and economic realities of the South Caucasus; Russia does not have the strength to get Turkey out of here. Dmitry Trenin, scientific director of the Institute of Military Economics and Strategy at the Higher School of Economics, stated this during a discussion on June 12.
“Russia is not an empire, we have come out of the imperial era, there is no struggle between Russia and Turkey for Transcaucasia.
Russia's relations with Turkey are very complex; they combine elements of cooperation and interaction with elements of competition, fortunately not yet hostility.
Russia strives to avoid hostility in every possible way, as does Türkiye. Today no one has any illusions about Turkey. But this country today is a very important counterparty to Russia.
Russia tried and partially succeeded in the difficult situation of 2020 related to the Karabakh conflict, to achieve not a quadrilateral, but a trilateral statement and agree to a formal military presence of Turkey within the framework of the Russian-Turkish mission.
Then it was possible, of course, to stigmatize Turkey, but what would Russian foreign policy gain from this? Another front?
Today Russia has fewer resources than the Russian Empire once had in its relations with the Ottoman Empire, and fewer resources than the USSR.
It is not that Russia agrees with the rise of Turkish influence, it simply views it as a geopolitical reality.
The future of the Russian Federation will depend on how, when and how the special military operation ends.
If Russia achieves victory, then it will be a completely different situation, and Russia will act much more actively in other areas, and Turkey knows this, which has taken its position regarding the war in Ukraine, and this position is not pro-Russian, Trenin emphasized.
Если Россия добьется победы, то это будет совсем другая ситуация...
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