Live Conflict Israel-US vs Iran War (2026)

[BaburKhan]

It is not just with what, it is how concentrated and in abundance the defence systems would be too. Even Korkut like guns and CIWS would be effective on cruise missiles. Also point defence missiles potentially can add to the layered defences.

A city like tel Aviv has a metropolitan area of over 1500square km. A typical airbase would be between 10km2 to 20km2. (Incirlik air base is 13km2) .
Hence much easier to protect than a city, especially when you have concentrated weapon systems in hand. It is easier to saturate a city wide defence system.

A missile with an engagement parameter like ESSM, can theoretically shoot down a Brahmos or ER300 or Rampage class supersonic missiles. Anything more advanced will need Patriot, Sm3 or Arrow.

I find your enthusiasm refreshing, and fully agree with the main theme in your last sentence in ().
But saturating CSG (Carrier Strike Group) armaments will take some doing. A target constantly in motion at 30knots is not targetable with the kinds of ballistic missiles Iran has. You need sophisticated HGVs (Hypervelocity Glide Vehicles) for that.


EDIT

You have to plan your moves according to the birds in your hand not according to the birds in the bush.

Of those attack potentials only SOM is in our inventory. (Even that still not fully ready as SOM-C that is going to be used against moving sea targets is still being developed.)
Süper Simsek: not in quantity in the inventory.
Kargi : put on hold and still not in inventory.
K2 : in development stage
Anka3 : Not ready yet. Nor it’s indigenous engine.
ER300 : not in inventory yet
Tayfun 4 : initial testing to be done yet
Gezgin: we only know the name. Not itself.

Do not forget the Barbaros coastal Defence System, it was succesfully tested in 2022 and in 2024 Cakir AShM was integrated and it is still not in Service !

 

[Barry]

Dude, your country is getting bombed to bits and you decide it's a good time to execute your own 19 year old champion athlete

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/20/world/middleeast/iran-executed-wrestler-mohammadi-hanging-protests.html

Didn't he murder a policeman?

 

[AlperTunga]

It is not just with what, it is how concentrated and in abundance the defence systems would be too. Even Korkut like guns and CIWS would be effective on cruise missiles. Also point defence missiles potentially can add to the layered defences.

A city like tel Aviv has a metropolitan area of over 1500square km. A typical airbase would be between 10km2 to 20km2. (Incirlik air base is 13km2) .
Hence much easier to protect than a city, especially when you have concentrated weapon systems in hand. It is easier to saturate a city wide defence system.

A missile with an engagement parameter like ESSM, can theoretically shoot down a Brahmos or ER300 or Rampage class supersonic missiles. Anything more advanced will need Patriot, Sm3 or Arrow.

I find your enthusiasm refreshing, and fully agree with the main theme in your last sentence in ().
But saturating CSG (Carrier Strike Group) armaments will take some doing. A target constantly in motion at 30knots is not targetable with the kinds of ballistic missiles Iran has. You need sophisticated HGVs (Hypervelocity Glide Vehicles) for that.


EDIT

You have to plan your moves according to the birds in your hand not according to the birds in the bush.

Of those attack potentials only SOM is in our inventory. (Even that still not fully ready as SOM-C that is going to be used against moving sea targets is still being developed.)
Süper Simsek: not in quantity in the inventory.
Kargi : put on hold and still not in inventory.
K2 : in development stage
Anka3 : Not ready yet. Nor it’s indigenous engine.
ER300 : not in inventory yet
Tayfun 4 : initial testing to be done yet
Gezgin: we only know the name. Not itself.

Your EDIT part tells a sad story unfortunately. But in my "scenario" I am already allowing a few years before NATO will effectively dissolve, or Israel is able to convince Trump or the next american president. If we use this time with utmost effectiveness, we may have a chance even against the ACs. We don't need HGV for that. We can send 50 Anka-3 each with 6 Super Simsek to saturate the AD of the carrier group, followed with other waves of drones with stand-off missiles, then it may work out fine for us. Of course we should modernize 200 F16s with MURAD AESA radar and Gökdogan+ or Gökbora missiles. And complement this with armed Hürjets and KEs. But if you ask me whether this "scenario" is realistic, unfortunately not. Because there is a difference between having some prototypes vs producing these weapon systems in sufficient numbers and employing them as part of a coherent war tactic/strategy. And in this aspect, we are notoriously bad.

Also, what Israel may try to do is to attack us very soon together with Greece, hoping that US would still have to run to their help, once Israel starts the war. Attacking Türkiye would not send the oil prices to the roof, so ordinary americans would not necessarily object it. And NATO is not valued that much by them anyhow. So this is a real danger, which many "experts" on TV shows appear not to take into account properly. I am not even sure the real "experts" also take it into account, given the ungrounded boasting I hear from many retired army personal (except maybe Erdogan Karakus).

 

[BaburKhan]

Your EDIT part tells a sad story unfortunately. But in my "scenario" I am already allowing a few years before NATO will effectively dissolve, or Israel is able to convince Trump or the next american president. If we use this time with utmost effectiveness, we may have a chance even against the ACs. We don't need HGV for that. We can send 50 Anka-3 each with 6 Super Simsek to saturate the AD of the carrier group, followed with other waves of drones with stand-off missiles, then it may work out fine for us. Of course we should modernize 200 F16s with MURAD AESA radar and Gökdogan+ or Gökbora missiles. And complement this with armed Hürjets and KEs. But if you ask me whether this "scenario" is realistic, unfortunately not. Because there is a difference between having some prototypes vs producing these weapon systems in sufficient numbers and employing them as part of a coherent war tactic/strategy. And in this aspect, we are notoriously bad.

Also, what Israel may try to do is to attack us very soon together with Greece, hoping that US would still have to run to their help, once Israel starts the war. Attacking Türkiye would not send the oil prices to the roof, so ordinary americans would not necessarily object it. And NATO is not valued that much by them anyhow. So this is a real danger, which many "experts" on TV shows appear not to take into account properly. I am not even sure the real "experts" also take it into account, given the ungrounded boasting I hear from many retired army personal (except maybe Erdogan Karakus).

@AlperTunga

In this Thread the Topic of a hypothetical turkish Strike on a CSG fit better. We can continue talking here: https://defencehub.live/threads/tur...astern-mediterranean.18577/page-8#post-387009

 

[Huelague]

Iran with its low accuracy rockets can only terrorize civilians.

Where is the difference what you do right now?

 

[GoatsMilk]

I think ultimately what's important is to make sure you have enough air defence systems that the enemy cannot enter and leave your airspace freely. Even when were watching the US/Isreal do this in Iran and yet Iran is still able to hit back with what is comparatively a limited capacity of missiles and cheap drones.

But like i said before with each day that passes, with each day that trump claims victory the more and more this war is looking like America's Ukraine moment.

From a zionist perspective however this is what they wanted, to use american might to harm their enemy. To use the idoit western goy as their rabbis call it, to serve the isrealis murderous regional agenda. However, the big downside to all of this if they fail to topple iran not only will they go nuclear but they will further develop their ballistic and drone capabilities. If Iran goes nuclear pretty soon after Turkiye and a few Arab states will go nuclear too. The only real thing stopping iran developing nuclear weapons was the threat of war. Well the zionists crossed that bridge and went about exterminating their leadership, no doubts now the iranians will 100% go nuclear. From a Turkish perspective, its now impossible for Turkiye to not go nuclear either.

Who would have thought that potentially in the same decade that the "two self-declared global super powers" would engage in wars that would expose both them to not be anywhere near the calibre of what they believed themselves to be.

Chinese will be sitting their thinking how shit Russia is taking on Ukraine, while laughing at the idea that a nation with not even 5% of the military capacity that China has can cause so much trouble to the USA.

 

[GoatsMilk]

seems like another american base is on fire.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2035114494771233058

i remember not so long ago when an american general was saying that Turkish military assets would become legitimate targets should the Turkish army strike the extreme left wing marxist terrorist organisation.

Its worth keeping in mind that incirlik airbase was being used by the americans to supply the PKK with weapons to use against Turkiye.

 

[Spitfire9]

President Donald Trump rejected calls for a ceasefire in Iran and proclaimed U.S. victory over the nation, even as reports indicate the Pentagon is deploying more troops to the region and seeking billions in extra funding.

"I don't want to do a ceasefire,” the president told reporters outside the White House on Friday. “You don't do a ceasefire when you're literally obliterating the other side.”

“I think we’ve won,” he added. “We’ve knocked out their navy, their air force. We’ve knocked out their anti-aircraft, we’ve knocked out everything. We’re roaming free...From a military standpoint they’re finished.”

Despite his exceedingly triumphant remarks, there are increasing indications that the U.S. is preparing to devote more resources to the overseas conflict.

MSN

They are not finished militarily. Every day they launch missiles and drones against their neighbours. The US cannot, from a distance, put an end to aggressive military action by Iran.

3 weeks into the US/Israeli attacks, what have the aggressors achieved?

1 Widespread damage to Iran, its air force and navy
2 ???
3 ???

 

[Spitfire9]

MSN

They are not finished militarily. Every day they launch missiles and drones against their neighbours. The US cannot, from a distance, put an end to aggressive military action by Iran.

3 weeks into the US/Israeli attacks, what have the aggressors achieved?

1 Widespread damage to Iran, its air force and navy
2 ???
3 ???...