BREAKING: The six-party table partnership is over.
After Kılıçdaroğlu's buying the votes of the other four parties, whose combined votes do not reach 5%, and imposing his candidacy on them, and finally after Demirtaş's open support, IYIP raised its hand and officially left the table. It is a very ambitious and risky move, but as the risk increases, so will the gain. Iyip has taken an important step towards becoming the sole ruling party by pitting the Chp and Akp head-to-head. In the event of Yavaş's candidacy, nationalist votes will be concentrated in the IYIP wing. Both left nationalists and right nationalists. In other words, the flow of votes from both Akp-Mhp and Chp must have been calculated. If you add Özdağ's statement today, the nationalist votes in the 3rd wing will also become part of the IYIP wing. If this strategy of the Iyip general executive committee works, i.e. if the votes of voters belonging to all nationalist factions can be defacto pooled together, this could enable them to secure a 50% +1 majority of votes. In other words, the miscalculations of the Chp central board could pave the way to power for the Iyip without depending on Kılıçdaroğlu's Chp.
Of course, there is also the opposite picture: Although the nationalist electorate was divided into very different factions, it was quite possible that at some point these wings would start to merge after reaching an overwhelming majority. Right now, the Iyip has made a kind of premature birth move. Whether it will work or not remains to be seen. If the Iyip is not rewarded for this move, it could seriously falter.
.
