T
Turko
Guest
We cant keep up the pace
Vay AMK. İ would never believe it.
Currently 1 TL equal to 1.5 HRN
Vay AMK. İ would never believe it.
Currently 1 TL equal to 1.5 HRN
You know those who claim to have been standing in queue for butter and gas 50 years ago are now standing for bread and vegetables but they are all like ''we are doing great''.Even made our way to the Japanese media outlets with those queues for halk ekmek, a friend called me to make sure i am 'ok'. I have never been ashamed more in my life this far. I could explain the coup night in a sensible way to them but i can not explain those bread queues and the shrinking Lira value and news about the recent financial policy.
It's an interesting move. He literally indexed the interest rate to dollar rate without saying it. Now the Islamists will say he fixed the economy without increasing the interest rates. And the rest of Turkey will(maybe) protect their money against dollar by this system. We should wait and see if people will buy this and lug their dollars to the banks. If not, it can possibly create a massive load on the financial systems. I don't know how banks will foot the bill. They're probably going to print more money to pay the difference. And that might cause extra inflation.Dollar: 13,80TL
Euro: 15,50TL
The market is very shallow right now and somebody dumped good amount of USD at the moment of the declaration, we will only see the truth at 9-10am when market opens and stabilizes.It's an interesting move. He literally indexed the interest rate to dollar rate without saying it. Now the Islamists will say he fixed the economy without increasing the interest rates. And the rest of Turkey will(maybe) protect their money against dollar by this system. We should wait and see if people will buy this and lug their dollars to the banks. If not, it can possibly create a massive load on the financial systems. I don't know how banks will foot the bill. They're probably going to print more money to pay the difference. And that might cause extra inflation.
The water is too muddy right now. I think we should wait a week to see the true reaction. Then we could speculate more accurately.
Having said this, this didn't change any of Turkey's fundamental problems. Which are education, freedom, reign of law, producing high value-added products etc. This move equates to every reputable economist's advice of hiking interest rate. But it also made possible Erdogan to save his face.
Related to this, how can we see such drastic changes when the market is closed? Can anyone with knowledge inform me(us?). Is this a low volume sell or something? Who sells it and how? Through which medium?
It is unsure how they will apply this scheme. Likely through some bonds that banks will buy from central bank and then banks will resell to people. (Like what Kemal dervis has done in 2001).I can't help but thinking what will happen when FED raises interest rates and make dollar more valuable? Because that's not in our hands. If we're running the interest rate on dollar then that could bring immense pressure to our banks. Besides, we can't buy any dollar,euro, gold etc right now. The online system doesn't allow it. We don't know how will people react to this news. If they see this as a buying opportunity then we're truly screwed.
stabilizes? That word is a joke to me. We're living in a la la land.The market is very shallow right now and somebody dumped good amount of USD at the moment of the declaration, we will only see the truth at 9-10am when market opens and stabilizes.
TL will recover this is for sure.