1. he won’t win as majority of democratic voters from NJ are calling on him to resign
2. this is bigger than the 2018 case as he has been directly indicted by the DOJ meaning he will be found guilty with a high probability
3. the democratic leadership will pressure him to resign immediately as they will have to show a clear anti-corruption stance due to the circumstances with Trump and the Supreme Court. Mendenez not resigning will be nothing but ammunition for the Republicans to pummel the Democrats with in the elections. You can be sure that Biden himself will be calling him soon.
4. he might try to hold onto his seat but that will buy him a couple weeks at best before the pressure gets to high.
5. with this his sons chances to ever hold influential office are gone as he will be forever tied to his father’s corruption
6. Pallone is a rep and as such holds no real power and can not be seated on a senate committee. Van Hollen could be yes but there other Senators who have seniority over him.
7. better even yet his fascist gift „wife“ is implicated in this whole case
Getting too off topic though. This is better suited for the foreign policy thread I think.