Timing and public announcement of nuclear capable bombers is no coincidence. America knew these attacks from Iran will happen since they even attacked American bases successfully. America knew Iran wouldn't mind attacking Israel or Türkiye if provoked. Since Iran also is a nuclear power, now.
Treacherous Americans are implying us as a target for Iran to attack instead of Israel on purpose. Iran several times said that she will attack with their unstoppable hypersonic missiles to bases in any and all nations that take part in an attack against Iran.
Not a single plane should be allowed to take flight until this crisis is over. They may take part in an attack against Iran by hiding their true mission.
Do you really think that any traffic can go outbound or inbound of/in Incirlik without the permission of the Turkish Armed Forces?
The Incirlik Airbase, otherwise known as the 10th Tanker Base Command which is tied to the Air Forces Combat Command is a Turkish airbase and Turkiye has full authority and ownership over it including all its facilities. The commander of the 10th Tanker Base is Air Pilot General Kemal GULEC (a Turkish officer). It is a Turkish Armed Forces airbase under the command of the Turkish Air Forces and not an US airbase as some people with questionable intensions say.
In result of the Economy and Defence agreement signed between the US and Turkiye on 29 Mart, 1980 some of the facilities are opened for joint exploitation with the US within the prospects of
joint security measures.
Implying that the US Air Forces can conduct independent missions from this airbase without the knowledge of the Turkish command is an offence over the intellect and professional qualities of the Turkish officers stationed there!
Despite such attempts and ambitions the Turkish officers in the airbase always stood their ground and never allowed misuse of the authority that was given to the US Air Force in the facilities they were allowed to use including in critical moments for Turkiye as the "15th July" FETO treachery.
Other than that let me tell you something regarding the politics of Iran in the region and especially when it comes to Turkiye. Iran doesn't need US or NATO forces to be stationed in Turkiye in order to launch a comparable attack over Turkish civilian and militaray targets to what we saw in Israel. The mere existence of Turkish military units in Iraq and Syria is enough for this.
Mark my words!
In 5 years from now, when our military operations in Zap, the North of Iraq are completed, after we besiege Gara, mark the terrorist camp as militarily non-effective and effectively start to exert influence over Sinjar (a strategic red line for Iran), whatever you saw in Israel awaits our military bases on foreign soil in Iraq and Syria with the exception that we don't posses any air defence system to effectively counter these ballistic missiles and the countries that intervened in the case of Israel with tens of fighter jets, air defence systems and intelligence will show ZERO determination to help us deal with that threat. And when the Republic of Turkiye is forced to respond to these attacks within article 51 of the UN chapter for self defence and somehow a militia commander or an IRGC advisor is present within the targeted area and hit, then you will see what I am talking about. Border cities with population of 2-3 million people are all potential targets for the Axis of Resistance proxy forces and then may God help the Turkish Nation...
When our bases in the north of Iraq were attacked by Iranian militias not long ago and caused disturb among our ranks we only saw a small, "funny" trailer of what can happen to ALL our military bases in Syria and Iraq.
While they bring to an end the still sustainable stay of our military forces in these areas just think of what Iran can do to both our military installations in the region and our mainland. In times where Iran's Mullah leadership is acting like a mad man do you know what will be the only consideration for Iran in defence to NOT attack directly Turkiye and its mainland? The
Article 5 of NATO and the NATO/US forces stationed in Turkiye and the region
.
While we, the people with healthy minds know that Turkiye is the unwanted child in the family of NATO and don't expect any meaningful collective response from NATO when in need, Iran doesn't think this way because even if the relationship between Turkiye and NATO is a love and hate (more hate in recent times) relationship, there is still an obligation by the member countries to defend Turkiye. Let's say that NATO will not defend Turkiye in a possible conflict, but what
IF? This
IF is enough to constraint Iran from annihilating economically strategic cities like Ankara and turn our defence industry centers in Golbasi and Kirikkale into ashes. This
IF would constraint Iran from annihilating major Turkish cities with tightly positioned population of 2-3-4-5 million people with its arsenal of hundreds, if not thousands of ballistic missiles by the time. Well, but we would respond... Yes! We will respond, but this will not bring back the already lost thousands of lives and billions of dollars. This may sound like the worst case scenario, but it is our duty to calculate this possibility and make everything possible for preventing this catastrophe.
We are very close to a rearrangement of power balances in the Middle East that will last for long time and we are very late to this game. Due to this fact we should keep a very hard balance between Iranian and US influence. We can't move even an inch without the security that US is giving us with just even its presence in the region! Sharks like Iran would eat our forces and spit them like it never was a thing. We still don't have the armed forces, the technologic maturity and the economy so we stay on our feet and only ambition is not enough. We are a
rising regional power and nothing more. We need security and conditions so we can operate and big part of these security and conditions are there because the US is here. If US decides that it would pack its sh*t and go right now the focus of Iran and its allies will be us because Turkiye is the second factor present on the field that is preventing the Iranian mega project aiming at undisputed control from Iran, trough Baghdad, Sinjar, Syria and the Mediterranean. With our operations in the north of Iraq and Syria we not only prevent the PKK expansion supported by the US, but also the Iranian expansion that continues with the passive support of Russia and China. This is why we should keep them busy with each other while we are building our new reality in which every strategic move in our backyard by major actors like Iran or the US is done with the support and rightful share of and for Turkiye or simply abandoned!
Every major actor like the US and Iran is trying to build its own reality and balance that will solely benefit them without taking in account Turkiye. We must break this bad habit by reinforce our own independence (especially when it comes to the Armed Forces and defence industry) and prevent any major change in the dynamics of the region that would prevent us react and adapt on time, making it impossible to take the right posture and fill any power vacuum that has to be filled if needed. If we manage to get at least limited backing by a major power like the US till 2040, if we manage to survive as a unified State under one flag, if we manage to survive attacks to our sovereignty like the one we saw in the 15th of July event which posed an existential threat to the State and manage to keep and improve our armed forces deterrence and presence wherever we have interests in, then I am sure our future will be big, but till then we should not take a bite bigger than what we can get trough our throats, otherwise we are going to be eliminated from the race for a respected and valuable position within the New World Order. No matter how much we hate them and they hate us, they need us and we still need them. After 2040 this will be debatable, but for now the reality can make us all cry... Especially the ballistic missile, mad regime reality that is just across the border, bordering Azerbaijan and exerting control over the Caspian Sea.
If anyone wants to quote me on my geopolitical analysis, please quote me here:
Let's talk about all that in a single thread that is easy to follow.
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