Live Conflict Israel-US vs Iran War (2026)

[4MikeEcho]

We're probably gonna see resumption in strikes once 2nd carrier strike group arrives near Iran, I don't see Iran giving up anything.

The $30Bn spent so far have resulted in $40BN damage in GCC countries, including the oil / gas installations. It does not include impact on their economy and material destruction and impact on economy in Israel.

I doubt the economics work out for us and our allies in this scenario.

As for second aircraft carrier, I call BS on it. A carrier and its F-18s don't project the sustained airpower projection needed. Our land-based assets have been in the area consistently as well as strategic bombers from UK.

I think the pause is worth it as every $ we spend is causing $3 of impact on the countries we are aligned with. They would say 'with a friend like that, who needs an enemy'. So I am glad we are at a pause, as temporary as it seems

 

[Saithan]

Well, as long as there are pipelines that can transport the gas elsewhere iran is still able to get some form of income. And with the current prices they earn more per gallon or cubic than before the war.

This could put more pressure on Trump to do even more erratic things, and you can't ask for a better PR than that.

I am certain that Iran will meet just to meet for negotiations and stall for time, unless they can get what they want. War raparations, China / Russia as guarentor, and lifting of unlawful sanctions, and of course keep their nuclear power program.

The more they play ball, the more time goes and come november Iran and the world will know how strong or weakened Trump will become.

 

[Saithan]

• Iran has received the first tolls from shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the deputy speaker of the Iranian parliament says
• He did not say who paid the tolls, or how much they were, and the BBC has not verified his claim
• Donald Trump has previously said the US would target ships if they pay Iran to use the strait
• Earlier, Trump said there was no time pressure on ending the war with Iran
• Iran's chief negotiator said on Wednesday it was "not possible" to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, accusing the US and Israel of breaching the ceasefire
• Yesterday, Iran attacked three cargo ships as they tried to pass through the Strait of Hormuz - and claimed it seized two of the

Iran has received first Strait of Hormuz shipping toll, deputy speaker says

The Iranian official did not say who paid the toll, or how much it was. President Trump has previously said the US would target ships if they pay Iran to use the strait.

www.bbc.com

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Very smart of Iran, ships pay toll, and they are let go, so if US boards them then they'll have new problems. Let's see what happens.

 

[GoatsMilk]

• Iran has received the first tolls from shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the deputy speaker of the Iranian parliament says
• He did not say who paid the tolls, or how much they were, and the BBC has not verified his claim
• Donald Trump has previously said the US would target ships if they pay Iran to use the strait
• Earlier, Trump said there was no time pressure on ending the war with Iran
• Iran's chief negotiator said on Wednesday it was "not possible" to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, accusing the US and Israel of breaching the ceasefire
• Yesterday, Iran attacked three cargo ships as they tried to pass through the Strait of Hormuz - and claimed it seized two of the

Iran has received first Strait of Hormuz shipping toll, deputy speaker says

The Iranian official did not say who paid the toll, or how much it was. President Trump has previously said the US would target ships if they pay Iran to use the strait.

www.bbc.com

___________________________________________________
Very smart of Iran, ships pay toll, and they are let go, so if US boards them then they'll have new problems. Let's see what happens.

I think all that will happen is the USA stops a couple of ships that paid the toll and then the rest will realise its pointless to pay the iranians if only the americans will stop them. If 1.4 billion china won't do anything about it, no one else can nor will.

Honestly the chinese seem really meek in the face of the USA.

 

[contricusc]

Honestly the chinese seem really meek in the face of the USA.

There’s not much China can do. The US controls the oceans, and with that, it can control trade. China is dependent on imports of natural resources, which requieres open seas, and on exports of products, which again require open seas.

China is trade dependent, and the US has the power to stop trade flows everywhere in the world.

It doesn’t help that the US controls the global reserve currency and the financial markets as well. Their power is still very dominant, and nobody in his right mind would want to be in conflict with them.

 

[Passenger]

I think all that will happen is the USA stops a couple of ships that paid the toll and then the rest will realise its pointless to pay the iranians if only the americans will stop them. If 1.4 billion china won't do anything about it, no one else can nor will.

Honestly the chinese seem really meek in the face of the USA.

China lacks both the ability and the willingness to engage face to US in military conflict outside of East Asia. This is a fact, and acknowledging it doesn't shame me.
And once China were involved, many of US's allies(such as Japan and Australia) would see this as disrupting the balance, they will do everythings they can to against China. It is not good for middle east.
Iranians can protect their country, all China need to do is to make US leader know the more time he wasted in Iran, the economy problem in US will get bigger.
All in all, what they did could not weaken China. This situation is enough to restrain US, making it inclined to avoid committing too much military force.