whats the end game for either country? What would Pakistan like to overall achieve and what would india like to achieve? And what if anything would either side compromise on to find a solution?
Simple, our goal must be to keep growing our gross domestic savings.
It is at 1 trillion USD level right now.
It needs to get to 2 trillion USD and then 3 trillion USD ASAP.
Every other economic number flows from this (be it investment or GDP)
In 2004 our savings were about 200 billion USD compared to Pakistan's 20 billion.
We have grown 5 times, whereas they (by their own lousy hand) have stayed at 20 billion.
So that has lead us to have savings amount approaching 50 times theirs now....when it was formerly just 10 times a cpl decades ago.
Our population ratios have dropped from 8 times to 6 times bigger in interim as we enter TFR area of 2.1 and they stay well above 3.
We will have sweet spot demographic dividend at the right time IMO.
So past that we must ensure this ratio (regd savings + investment) continues to diverge as far as possible.
The bailout that Saudi Arabia provides them (under very stringent conditions) is a feature just beginning to start.
As is what they have to do to get an IMF loan.
All things they have to do because the limits of what PRC will give them have already been reached (and if not why doesn't PRC simply bail them out in these amounts of 3 billion and 6 billion which should surely be pittances for a 3 trillion US dollar stockpiled reserve country).
In fact it is quite instructive to see just how little impact "CPEC" is having on the fundamental savings+investment number.
The leverage we have been able to use (against Pakistan) by way of our economic size has been good and needs to grow even more.
Simply make key players choose between us as far as possible regarding key economic contours and decision making.
This increasingly ties into the military industrial complex and security paradigms too.
We simply need to replicate as far as possible (this first half century) a much larger vast scale of South vs North Korea in the subcontinent.
Then the options as to resolve the solution in optimal, concrete and hopefully peaceful way also increase in number as the power level discrepancy dictates it.
We can then at that point afford to waste time on what they indicate is their "end game" and judge if its any reasonable value to negotiate upon.
But not till then.
Everything else is just equivalent of twitter spam wars for politicians and people with too much free time on their hand.