actually if you follow my predictions earlier, most of it turned out to be true.
I had an altercation with Dalit, basically denying him his wet dreams of a "regional player" teaming up to build Afghanistan.
you could check it here, this is back in July [source] [source]
turns out it's becoming reality, with Iran busy bashing Pakistan for the defeat of the Northern alliance
I told earlier with @Jackdaws that the "regional actors" would continue to fund the Taliban on "humanitarian grounds", which is actually only enough to prevent Taliban to carry out/facilitate attacks in their country. Now it appears that China is doing just that.
when I told people here that factions WILL compete for power, the Taliban wasted no time to prove just that.
Actually no, the next phase of war had just begun. You should read the latest news regarding the Taliban. as I correctly predicted it's between Taliban and ISKP
that's 43 years of non stop war and counting for you.
do you know that the collapsed Afghan govt used to be the insurgents fighting a winning battle against the central (communists) govt??
in fact the latest Taliban move could very well be the source of regret, the same way the US regret why they don't finish T'ban in the earlier days of war.
No visibel conflicts =/= the end of the war, during the NATO occupation, life actually goes on as usual, people goes to school, work etc.
Basically the Taliban now are NATO while ISIS is now playing the Taliban.
So yeah that's life conflicts for you.
YOU Tonil, are in no position to tell me that.
I express opinion with citations, why don't you tell your spammer here to stop promoting sales of caligraphy.
This post sounds like something a low-budget Indian newspaper would write but hey I guess some gotta dream here and there.
The dust has settled from all political angles. 1) Iran is weak and doesn't want hot border or hostile Pakistan which could create issues inside her own border directly. This one is off-limits.
The factions part is taken out of disney fairytale and Taliban has denied that again and again basically spread by Indian tabloids you know credibility and them don't go hand in hand. They were even writing tonight that Mullah Baradar has been killed
As for the ISKP. They will remain active but not as you envision them and not less active than they are in Indonesia the once in awhile pop up from months to months or years to years will occur once in a while but they will not just all of sudden emerge from the death and become a militant group they are very unpopular amongst the tribes and have no local support you can't just magically create supporters and tribal alliance out of thin. Hard sell for ISKP because people have already Shariah how do you make promotions for new fighters and motivation is very difficult for them and recruiting will hit a wall.
As for regional powers helping to build Afghanistan this will definitely happen and right now they are competing for the rights to extract the goods from the ground..
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